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Can You Trust Your Model's Uncertainty? Evaluating Predictive
  Uncertainty Under Dataset Shift

Can You Trust Your Model's Uncertainty? Evaluating Predictive Uncertainty Under Dataset Shift

6 June 2019
Yaniv Ovadia
Emily Fertig
Jie Jessie Ren
Zachary Nado
D. Sculley
Sebastian Nowozin
Joshua V. Dillon
Balaji Lakshminarayanan
Jasper Snoek
    UQCV
ArXivPDFHTML

Papers citing "Can You Trust Your Model's Uncertainty? Evaluating Predictive Uncertainty Under Dataset Shift"

50 / 1,042 papers shown
Title
Label Augmentation for Neural Networks Robustness
Label Augmentation for Neural Networks Robustness
Fatemeh Amerehi
Patrick Healy
AAML
39
1
0
04 Aug 2024
Harnessing Uncertainty-aware Bounding Boxes for Unsupervised 3D Object
  Detection
Harnessing Uncertainty-aware Bounding Boxes for Unsupervised 3D Object Detection
A. Benfenati
P. Causin
Hang Yu
Zhedong Zheng
3DPC
48
2
0
01 Aug 2024
Uncertainty-Aware Deep Neural Representations for Visual Analysis of
  Vector Field Data
Uncertainty-Aware Deep Neural Representations for Visual Analysis of Vector Field Data
Atul Kumar
S. Garg
Soumya Dutta
53
0
0
23 Jul 2024
Achieving Well-Informed Decision-Making in Drug Discovery: A
  Comprehensive Calibration Study using Neural Network-Based Structure-Activity
  Models
Achieving Well-Informed Decision-Making in Drug Discovery: A Comprehensive Calibration Study using Neural Network-Based Structure-Activity Models
Hannah Rosa Friesacher
Ola Engkvist
Lewis H. Mervin
Yves Moreau
Adam Arany
39
0
0
19 Jul 2024
Robust Calibration of Large Vision-Language Adapters
Robust Calibration of Large Vision-Language Adapters
Balamurali Murugesan
Julio Silva-Rodríguez
Ismail Ben Ayed
Jose Dolz
OODD
VLM
32
6
0
18 Jul 2024
Sharpness-diversity tradeoff: improving flat ensembles with SharpBalance
Sharpness-diversity tradeoff: improving flat ensembles with SharpBalance
Haiquan Lu
Xiaotian Liu
Yefan Zhou
Qunli Li
Kurt Keutzer
Michael W. Mahoney
Yujun Yan
Huanrui Yang
Yaoqing Yang
45
1
0
17 Jul 2024
Calibrated Diverse Ensemble Entropy Minimization for Robust Test-Time
  Adaptation in Prostate Cancer Detection
Calibrated Diverse Ensemble Entropy Minimization for Robust Test-Time Adaptation in Prostate Cancer Detection
Mahdi Gilany
Mohamed Harmanani
P. Wilson
Minh-Son To
A. Jamzad
Fahimeh Fooladgar
Brian Wodlinger
Purang Abolmaesumi
Parvin Mousavi
OOD
33
0
0
17 Jul 2024
Instance-wise Uncertainty for Class Imbalance in Semantic Segmentation
Instance-wise Uncertainty for Class Imbalance in Semantic Segmentation
Luís Almeida
Ines Dutra
Francesco Renna
UQCV
43
0
0
17 Jul 2024
On the Calibration of Epistemic Uncertainty: Principles, Paradoxes and
  Conflictual Loss
On the Calibration of Epistemic Uncertainty: Principles, Paradoxes and Conflictual Loss
Mohammed Fellaji
Frédéric Pennerath
Brieuc Conan-Guez
Miguel Couceiro
UQCV
51
1
0
16 Jul 2024
Proper losses regret at least 1/2-order
Proper losses regret at least 1/2-order
Han Bao
Asuka Takatsu
18
1
0
15 Jul 2024
Real-Time Anomaly Detection and Reactive Planning with Large Language
  Models
Real-Time Anomaly Detection and Reactive Planning with Large Language Models
Rohan Sinha
Amine Elhafsi
Christopher Agia
Matthew Foutter
Edward Schmerling
Marco Pavone
OffRL
LRM
45
27
0
11 Jul 2024
How to Leverage Predictive Uncertainty Estimates for Reducing
  Catastrophic Forgetting in Online Continual Learning
How to Leverage Predictive Uncertainty Estimates for Reducing Catastrophic Forgetting in Online Continual Learning
Giuseppe Serra
Ben Werner
Florian Buettner
45
2
0
10 Jul 2024
Are Data Augmentation Methods in Named Entity Recognition Applicable for
  Uncertainty Estimation?
Are Data Augmentation Methods in Named Entity Recognition Applicable for Uncertainty Estimation?
Wataru Hashimoto
Hidetaka Kamigaito
Taro Watanabe
34
1
0
02 Jul 2024
Overcoming Common Flaws in the Evaluation of Selective Classification
  Systems
Overcoming Common Flaws in the Evaluation of Selective Classification Systems
Jeremias Traub
Till J. Bungert
Carsten T. Lüth
Michael Baumgartner
Klaus H. Maier-Hein
Lena Maier-Hein
Paul F. Jaeger
44
3
0
01 Jul 2024
Evaluation of autonomous systems under data distribution shifts
Evaluation of autonomous systems under data distribution shifts
Daniel Sikar
Artur Garcez
19
0
0
28 Jun 2024
Unified Uncertainties: Combining Input, Data and Model Uncertainty into
  a Single Formulation
Unified Uncertainties: Combining Input, Data and Model Uncertainty into a Single Formulation
Matias Valdenegro-Toro
Ivo Pascal de Jong
Marco Zullich
UD
43
2
0
26 Jun 2024
Improving robustness to corruptions with multiplicative weight
  perturbations
Improving robustness to corruptions with multiplicative weight perturbations
Trung Trinh
Markus Heinonen
Luigi Acerbi
Samuel Kaski
44
0
0
24 Jun 2024
Hardware-Aware Neural Dropout Search for Reliable Uncertainty Prediction
  on FPGA
Hardware-Aware Neural Dropout Search for Reliable Uncertainty Prediction on FPGA
Zehuan Zhang
Hongxiang Fan
Hao Mark Chen
Lukasz Dudziak
Wayne Luk
BDL
42
0
0
23 Jun 2024
AI-based Anomaly Detection for Clinical-Grade Histopathological
  Diagnostics
AI-based Anomaly Detection for Clinical-Grade Histopathological Diagnostics
Jonas Dippel
Niklas Prenißl
Julius Hense
Philipp Liznerski
Tobias Winterhoff
...
David Horst
Maximilian Alber
Lukas Ruff
Klaus-Robert Müller
Frederick Klauschen
38
4
0
21 Jun 2024
Enhancing Dropout-based Bayesian Neural Networks with Multi-Exit on FPGA
Enhancing Dropout-based Bayesian Neural Networks with Multi-Exit on FPGA
Hao Mark Chen
Liam Castelli
Martin Ferianc
Hongyu Zhou
Shuanglong Liu
Wayne Luk
Hongxiang Fan
28
0
0
20 Jun 2024
On the Utility of Domain-Adjacent Fine-Tuned Model Ensembles for
  Few-shot Problems
On the Utility of Domain-Adjacent Fine-Tuned Model Ensembles for Few-shot Problems
Md. Ibrahim Ibne Alam
Parikshit Ram
Soham Dan
Horst Samulowitz
Koushik Kar
38
0
0
19 Jun 2024
Calibrating Where It Matters: Constrained Temperature Scaling
Calibrating Where It Matters: Constrained Temperature Scaling
Stephen McKenna
Jacob Carse
28
0
0
17 Jun 2024
What Does Softmax Probability Tell Us about Classifiers Ranking Across
  Diverse Test Conditions?
What Does Softmax Probability Tell Us about Classifiers Ranking Across Diverse Test Conditions?
Weijie Tu
Weijian Deng
Liang Zheng
Tom Gedeon
42
0
0
14 Jun 2024
DAISY: Data Adaptive Self-Supervised Early Exit for Speech
  Representation Models
DAISY: Data Adaptive Self-Supervised Early Exit for Speech Representation Models
T. Lin
Hung-yi Lee
Hao Tang
53
1
0
08 Jun 2024
Measuring Stochastic Data Complexity with Boltzmann Influence Functions
Measuring Stochastic Data Complexity with Boltzmann Influence Functions
Nathan Ng
Roger C. Grosse
Marzyeh Ghassemi
40
0
0
04 Jun 2024
Language Models Do Hard Arithmetic Tasks Easily and Hardly Do Easy
  Arithmetic Tasks
Language Models Do Hard Arithmetic Tasks Easily and Hardly Do Easy Arithmetic Tasks
Andrew Gambardella
Yusuke Iwasawa
Yutaka Matsuo
LRM
35
6
0
04 Jun 2024
Evidentially Calibrated Source-Free Time-Series Domain Adaptation with
  Temporal Imputation
Evidentially Calibrated Source-Free Time-Series Domain Adaptation with Temporal Imputation
Mohamed Ragab
Peiliang Gong
Emadeldeen Eldele
Wenyu Zhang
Min-man Wu
Chuan-Sheng Foo
Daoqiang Zhang
Xiaoli Li
Zhenghua Chen
TTA
AI4TS
42
2
0
04 Jun 2024
Orthogonal Causal Calibration
Orthogonal Causal Calibration
Justin Whitehouse
Christopher Jung
Vasilis Syrgkanis
Bryan Wilder
Zhiwei Steven Wu
CML
114
1
0
04 Jun 2024
A Structured Review of Literature on Uncertainty in Machine Learning &
  Deep Learning
A Structured Review of Literature on Uncertainty in Machine Learning & Deep Learning
Fahimeh Fakour
Ali Mosleh
Ramin Ramezani
UQCV
UD
PER
51
2
0
01 Jun 2024
LACIE: Listener-Aware Finetuning for Confidence Calibration in Large
  Language Models
LACIE: Listener-Aware Finetuning for Confidence Calibration in Large Language Models
Elias Stengel-Eskin
Peter Hase
Mohit Bansal
37
4
0
31 May 2024
On Calibration of Object Detectors: Pitfalls, Evaluation and Baselines
On Calibration of Object Detectors: Pitfalls, Evaluation and Baselines
Selim Kuzucu
Kemal Oksuz
Jonathan Sadeghi
P. Dokania
46
4
0
30 May 2024
Kernel Language Entropy: Fine-grained Uncertainty Quantification for
  LLMs from Semantic Similarities
Kernel Language Entropy: Fine-grained Uncertainty Quantification for LLMs from Semantic Similarities
Alexander Nikitin
Jannik Kossen
Yarin Gal
Pekka Marttinen
UQCV
55
25
0
30 May 2024
Accurate and Reliable Predictions with Mutual-Transport Ensemble
Accurate and Reliable Predictions with Mutual-Transport Ensemble
Han Liu
Peng Cui
Bingning Wang
Jun Zhu
Xiaolin Hu
UQCV
34
0
0
30 May 2024
Federated Continual Learning Goes Online: Leveraging Uncertainty for
  Modality-Agnostic Class-Incremental Learning
Federated Continual Learning Goes Online: Leveraging Uncertainty for Modality-Agnostic Class-Incremental Learning
Giuseppe Serra
Florian Buettner
CLL
FedML
59
0
0
29 May 2024
Language Generation with Strictly Proper Scoring Rules
Language Generation with Strictly Proper Scoring Rules
Chenze Shao
Fandong Meng
Yijin Liu
Jie Zhou
68
5
0
29 May 2024
Synergy and Diversity in CLIP: Enhancing Performance Through Adaptive Backbone Ensembling
Synergy and Diversity in CLIP: Enhancing Performance Through Adaptive Backbone Ensembling
Cristian Rodriguez-Opazo
Ehsan Abbasnejad
Damien Teney
Edison Marrese-Taylor
Hamed Damirchi
Anton Van Den Hengel
VLM
45
1
0
27 May 2024
FedCal: Achieving Local and Global Calibration in Federated Learning via
  Aggregated Parameterized Scaler
FedCal: Achieving Local and Global Calibration in Federated Learning via Aggregated Parameterized Scaler
Hongyi Peng
Han Yu
Xiaoli Tang
Xiaoxiao Li
47
4
0
24 May 2024
Credal Wrapper of Model Averaging for Uncertainty Estimation in Classification
Credal Wrapper of Model Averaging for Uncertainty Estimation in Classification
Kaizheng Wang
Fabio Cuzzolin
Keivan K1 Shariatmadar
David Moens
Hans Hallez
UQCV
BDL
88
0
0
23 May 2024
LookHere: Vision Transformers with Directed Attention Generalize and
  Extrapolate
LookHere: Vision Transformers with Directed Attention Generalize and Extrapolate
A. Fuller
Daniel G. Kyrollos
Yousef Yassin
James R. Green
54
2
0
22 May 2024
Visual Analysis of Prediction Uncertainty in Neural Networks for Deep
  Image Synthesis
Visual Analysis of Prediction Uncertainty in Neural Networks for Deep Image Synthesis
Soumya Dutta
Faheem Nizar
Ahmad Amaan
Ayan Acharya
AAML
48
1
0
22 May 2024
System Safety Monitoring of Learned Components Using Temporal Metric
  Forecasting
System Safety Monitoring of Learned Components Using Temporal Metric Forecasting
Sepehr Sharifi
Andrea Stocco
Lionel C. Briand
AI4TS
50
1
0
21 May 2024
Geometric Transformation Uncertainty for Improving 3D Fetal Brain Pose
  Prediction from Freehand 2D Ultrasound Videos
Geometric Transformation Uncertainty for Improving 3D Fetal Brain Pose Prediction from Freehand 2D Ultrasound Videos
Jayroop Ramesh
Nicola K. Dinsdale
INTERGROWTH-21 Consortium
P. Yeung
Ana I. L. Namburete
MedIm
41
3
0
21 May 2024
Uncertainty Quantification Metrics for Deep Regression
Uncertainty Quantification Metrics for Deep Regression
Simon Kristoffersson Lind
Ziliang Xiong
Per-Erik Forssén
Volker Kruger
UQCV
34
3
0
07 May 2024
Information-driven Affordance Discovery for Efficient Robotic
  Manipulation
Information-driven Affordance Discovery for Efficient Robotic Manipulation
Pietro Mazzaglia
Taco Cohen
Daniel Dijkman
40
2
0
06 May 2024
The Role of Predictive Uncertainty and Diversity in Embodied AI and
  Robot Learning
The Role of Predictive Uncertainty and Diversity in Embodied AI and Robot Learning
Ransalu Senanayake
32
8
0
06 May 2024
A View on Out-of-Distribution Identification from a Statistical Testing
  Theory Perspective
A View on Out-of-Distribution Identification from a Statistical Testing Theory Perspective
Alberto Caron
Chris Hicks
V. Mavroudis
OODD
36
2
0
05 May 2024
Source-Free Domain Adaptation Guided by Vision and Vision-Language
  Pre-Training
Source-Free Domain Adaptation Guided by Vision and Vision-Language Pre-Training
Wenyu Zhang
Li Shen
Chuan-Sheng Foo
VLM
TTA
58
4
0
05 May 2024
Quantifying Distribution Shifts and Uncertainties for Enhanced Model
  Robustness in Machine Learning Applications
Quantifying Distribution Shifts and Uncertainties for Enhanced Model Robustness in Machine Learning Applications
Vegard Flovik
OOD
34
1
0
03 May 2024
Accelerating Convergence in Bayesian Few-Shot Classification
Accelerating Convergence in Bayesian Few-Shot Classification
Tianjun Ke
Haoqun Cao
Feng Zhou
50
0
0
02 May 2024
Error-Driven Uncertainty Aware Training
Error-Driven Uncertainty Aware Training
Pedro Mendes
Paolo Romano
David Garlan
UQCV
26
0
0
02 May 2024
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