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Can You Trust Your Model's Uncertainty? Evaluating Predictive
  Uncertainty Under Dataset Shift

Can You Trust Your Model's Uncertainty? Evaluating Predictive Uncertainty Under Dataset Shift

6 June 2019
Yaniv Ovadia
Emily Fertig
Jie Jessie Ren
Zachary Nado
D. Sculley
Sebastian Nowozin
Joshua V. Dillon
Balaji Lakshminarayanan
Jasper Snoek
    UQCV
ArXivPDFHTML

Papers citing "Can You Trust Your Model's Uncertainty? Evaluating Predictive Uncertainty Under Dataset Shift"

50 / 1,042 papers shown
Title
Test-Time Alignment via Hypothesis Reweighting
Test-Time Alignment via Hypothesis Reweighting
Yoonho Lee
Jonathan Williams
Henrik Marklund
Archit Sharma
E. Mitchell
Anikait Singh
Chelsea Finn
96
3
0
11 Dec 2024
Detecting Discrepancies Between AI-Generated and Natural Images Using
  Uncertainty
Detecting Discrepancies Between AI-Generated and Natural Images Using Uncertainty
Jun Nie
Yonggang Zhang
Tongliang Liu
Y. Cheung
Bo Han
Xinmei Tian
UQCV
95
1
0
08 Dec 2024
Detecting Fake News on Social Media: A Novel Reliability Aware
  Machine-Crowd Hybrid Intelligence-Based Method
Detecting Fake News on Social Media: A Novel Reliability Aware Machine-Crowd Hybrid Intelligence-Based Method
Yidong Chai
Kangwei Shi
Jiaheng Xie
Chunli Liu
Yuanchun Jiang
Yezheng Liu
71
0
0
07 Dec 2024
Enhancing Zero-shot Chain of Thought Prompting via Uncertainty-Guided Strategy Selection
Shanu Kumar
Saish Mendke
Karody Lubna Abdul Rahman
Santosh Kurasa
Parag Agrawal
Sandipan Dandapat
LLMAG
LRM
72
2
0
30 Nov 2024
Customer Lifetime Value Prediction with Uncertainty Estimation Using
  Monte Carlo Dropout
Customer Lifetime Value Prediction with Uncertainty Estimation Using Monte Carlo Dropout
Xinzhe Cao
Yadong Xu
Xiaofeng Yang
74
0
0
24 Nov 2024
PaRCE: Probabilistic and Reconstruction-based Competency Estimation for CNN-based Image Classification
PaRCE: Probabilistic and Reconstruction-based Competency Estimation for CNN-based Image Classification
Sara Pohland
Claire Tomlin
UQCV
76
1
0
22 Nov 2024
Improving OOD Generalization of Pre-trained Encoders via Aligned
  Embedding-Space Ensembles
Improving OOD Generalization of Pre-trained Encoders via Aligned Embedding-Space Ensembles
Shuman Peng
Arash Khoeini
Sharan Vaswani
Martin Ester
75
0
0
20 Nov 2024
Improving self-training under distribution shifts via anchored
  confidence with theoretical guarantees
Improving self-training under distribution shifts via anchored confidence with theoretical guarantees
Taejong Joo
Diego Klabjan
UQCV
51
0
0
01 Nov 2024
Enhancing Diversity in Bayesian Deep Learning via Hyperspherical Energy
  Minimization of CKA
Enhancing Diversity in Bayesian Deep Learning via Hyperspherical Energy Minimization of CKA
David Smerkous
Qinxun Bai
Fuxin Li
BDL
31
0
0
31 Oct 2024
Automated Trustworthiness Oracle Generation for Machine Learning Text Classifiers
Automated Trustworthiness Oracle Generation for Machine Learning Text Classifiers
Lam Nguyen Tung
Steven Cho
Xiaoning Du
Neelofar Neelofar
Valerio Terragni
Stefano Ruberto
Aldeida Aleti
233
2
0
30 Oct 2024
Legitimate ground-truth-free metrics for deep uncertainty classification scoring
Legitimate ground-truth-free metrics for deep uncertainty classification scoring
Arthur Pignet
Chiara Regniez
John Klein
72
0
0
30 Oct 2024
Domain Adaptation with a Single Vision-Language Embedding
Domain Adaptation with a Single Vision-Language Embedding
Mohammad Fahes
Tuan-Hung Vu
Andrei Bursuc
Patrick Pérez
Raoul de Charette
VLM
33
0
0
28 Oct 2024
Ensembling Finetuned Language Models for Text Classification
Ensembling Finetuned Language Models for Text Classification
Sebastian Pineda Arango
Maciej Janowski
Lennart Purucker
Arber Zela
Frank Hutter
Josif Grabocka
33
0
0
25 Oct 2024
Theoretical Limitations of Ensembles in the Age of Overparameterization
Theoretical Limitations of Ensembles in the Age of Overparameterization
Niclas Dern
John P. Cunningham
Geoff Pleiss
BDL
UQCV
36
0
0
21 Oct 2024
The Disparate Benefits of Deep Ensembles
The Disparate Benefits of Deep Ensembles
Kajetan Schweighofer
Adrián Arnaiz-Rodríguez
Sepp Hochreiter
Nuria Oliver
FedML
28
1
0
17 Oct 2024
Uncertainty Estimation and Out-of-Distribution Detection for LiDAR Scene
  Semantic Segmentation
Uncertainty Estimation and Out-of-Distribution Detection for LiDAR Scene Semantic Segmentation
Hanieh Shojaei
Qianqian Zou
Max Mehltretter
UQCV
28
0
0
11 Oct 2024
Towards Trustworthy Web Attack Detection: An Uncertainty-Aware Ensemble
  Deep Kernel Learning Model
Towards Trustworthy Web Attack Detection: An Uncertainty-Aware Ensemble Deep Kernel Learning Model
Yonghang Zhou
Hongyi Zhu
Yidong Chai
Yuanchun Jiang
Yezheng Liu
AAML
24
0
0
10 Oct 2024
Evaluating Computational Pathology Foundation Models for Prostate Cancer
  Grading under Distribution Shifts
Evaluating Computational Pathology Foundation Models for Prostate Cancer Grading under Distribution Shifts
Fredrik K. Gustafsson
Mattias Rantalainen
OOD
MedIm
34
0
0
09 Oct 2024
Functional-level Uncertainty Quantification for Calibrated Fine-tuning on LLMs
Functional-level Uncertainty Quantification for Calibrated Fine-tuning on LLMs
Ruijia Niu
D. Wu
Rose Yu
Yi Ma
35
1
0
09 Oct 2024
Predicting Battery Capacity Fade Using Probabilistic Machine Learning
  Models With and Without Pre-Trained Priors
Predicting Battery Capacity Fade Using Probabilistic Machine Learning Models With and Without Pre-Trained Priors
Michael J. Kenney
Katerina G. Malollari
Sergei V. Kalinin
M. Ziatdinov
BDL
36
0
0
08 Oct 2024
Gaussian-Based and Outside-the-Box Runtime Monitoring Join Forces
Gaussian-Based and Outside-the-Box Runtime Monitoring Join Forces
Vahid Hashemi
Jan Křetínský
Sabine Rieder
Torsten Schön
Jan Vorhoff
39
0
0
08 Oct 2024
Probing Language Models on Their Knowledge Source
Probing Language Models on Their Knowledge Source
Zineddine Tighidet
Andrea Mogini
Jiali Mei
Benjamin Piwowarski
Patrick Gallinari
KELM
40
1
0
08 Oct 2024
Improving Predictor Reliability with Selective Recalibration
Improving Predictor Reliability with Selective Recalibration
Thomas P. Zollo
Zhun Deng
Jake C. Snell
T. Pitassi
Richard Zemel
OOD
41
0
0
07 Oct 2024
Dynamic Post-Hoc Neural Ensemblers
Dynamic Post-Hoc Neural Ensemblers
Sebastian Pineda Arango
Maciej Janowski
Lennart Purucker
Arber Zela
Frank Hutter
Josif Grabocka
UQCV
44
0
0
06 Oct 2024
Distribution Guided Active Feature Acquisition
Distribution Guided Active Feature Acquisition
Yang Li
Junier Oliva
29
0
0
04 Oct 2024
Lightning UQ Box: A Comprehensive Framework for Uncertainty
  Quantification in Deep Learning
Lightning UQ Box: A Comprehensive Framework for Uncertainty Quantification in Deep Learning
Nils Lehmann
Jakob Gawlikowski
Adam J. Stewart
Vytautas Jancauskas
Stefan Depeweg
Eric T. Nalisnick
N. Gottschling
44
0
0
04 Oct 2024
Probabilistic road classification in historical maps using synthetic
  data and deep learning
Probabilistic road classification in historical maps using synthetic data and deep learning
Dominik J. Mühlematter
Sebastian Schweizer
Chenjing Jiao
Xue Xia
M. Heitzler
L. Hurni
39
0
0
03 Oct 2024
Toward a Holistic Evaluation of Robustness in CLIP Models
Toward a Holistic Evaluation of Robustness in CLIP Models
Weijie Tu
Weijian Deng
Tom Gedeon
VLM
44
5
0
02 Oct 2024
Bias Assessment and Data Drift Detection in Medical Image Analysis: A
  Survey
Bias Assessment and Data Drift Detection in Medical Image Analysis: A Survey
Andrea Prenner
Bernhard Kainz
40
0
0
26 Sep 2024
Scalable Ensemble Diversification for OOD Generalization and Detection
Scalable Ensemble Diversification for OOD Generalization and Detection
Alexander Rubinstein
Luca Scimeca
Damien Teney
Seong Joon Oh
BDL
OOD
368
1
0
25 Sep 2024
On the calibration of powerset speaker diarization models
On the calibration of powerset speaker diarization models
Alexis Plaquet
H. Bredin
UQCV
16
0
0
24 Sep 2024
Simple Unsupervised Knowledge Distillation With Space Similarity
Simple Unsupervised Knowledge Distillation With Space Similarity
Aditya Singh
Haohan Wang
31
1
0
20 Sep 2024
Trimming the Risk: Towards Reliable Continuous Training for Deep
  Learning Inspection Systems
Trimming the Risk: Towards Reliable Continuous Training for Deep Learning Inspection Systems
Altaf Allah Abbassi
Houssem Ben Braiek
Foutse Khomh
Thomas Reid
28
0
0
13 Sep 2024
Sources of Uncertainty in 3D Scene Reconstruction
Sources of Uncertainty in 3D Scene Reconstruction
Marcus Klasson
Riccardo Mereu
Arno Solin
Arno Solin
3DV
3DGS
33
3
0
10 Sep 2024
Competency-Aware Planning for Probabilistically Safe Navigation Under Perception Uncertainty
Competency-Aware Planning for Probabilistically Safe Navigation Under Perception Uncertainty
Sara Pohland
Claire Tomlin
43
0
0
09 Sep 2024
Enhancing Uncertainty Quantification in Drug Discovery with Censored
  Regression Labels
Enhancing Uncertainty Quantification in Drug Discovery with Censored Regression Labels
Emma Svensson
Hannah Rosa Friesacher
S. Winiwarter
Lewis H. Mervin
Adam Arany
Ola Engkvist
50
2
0
06 Sep 2024
Prediction Accuracy & Reliability: Classification and Object
  Localization under Distribution Shift
Prediction Accuracy & Reliability: Classification and Object Localization under Distribution Shift
Fabian Diet
Moussa Kassem Sbeyti
Michelle Karg
41
0
0
05 Sep 2024
Improving Uncertainty-Error Correspondence in Deep Bayesian Medical
  Image Segmentation
Improving Uncertainty-Error Correspondence in Deep Bayesian Medical Image Segmentation
P. Mody
Nicolas F. Chaves-de-Plaza
Chinmay Rao
Eleftheria Astrenidou
M. de Ridder
N. Hoekstra
Klaus Hildebrandt
Marius Staring
UQCV
27
0
0
05 Sep 2024
UTrack: Multi-Object Tracking with Uncertain Detections
UTrack: Multi-Object Tracking with Uncertain Detections
Edgardo Solano-Carrillo
Felix Sattler
Antje Alex
Alexander Klein
Bruno Pereira Costa
Ángel Bueno Rodríguez
Jannis Stoppe
VOT
42
1
0
30 Aug 2024
Estimating Uncertainty with Implicit Quantile Network
Estimating Uncertainty with Implicit Quantile Network
Yi Hung Lim
UQCV
BDL
24
0
0
26 Aug 2024
Explanatory Model Monitoring to Understand the Effects of Feature Shifts
  on Performance
Explanatory Model Monitoring to Understand the Effects of Feature Shifts on Performance
Thomas Decker
Alexander Koebler
Michael Lebacher
Ingo Thon
Volker Tresp
Florian Buettner
40
1
0
24 Aug 2024
How disentangled are your classification uncertainties?
How disentangled are your classification uncertainties?
Ivo Pascal de Jong
A. Sburlea
Matias Valdenegro-Toro
UQCV
UD
PER
33
2
0
22 Aug 2024
The Dilemma of Uncertainty Estimation for General Purpose AI in the EU
  AI Act
The Dilemma of Uncertainty Estimation for General Purpose AI in the EU AI Act
Matias Valdenegro-Toro
Radina Stoykova
21
0
0
20 Aug 2024
Addressing Heterogeneity in Federated Learning: Challenges and Solutions
  for a Shared Production Environment
Addressing Heterogeneity in Federated Learning: Challenges and Solutions for a Shared Production Environment
T. Legler
Vinit Hegiste
Ahmed Anwar
Martin Ruskowski
31
0
0
18 Aug 2024
Identifying Technical Debt and Its Types Across Diverse Software
  Projects Issues
Identifying Technical Debt and Its Types Across Diverse Software Projects Issues
Karthik Shivashankar
Mili Orucevic
Maren Maritsdatter Kruke
Antonio Martini
46
1
0
17 Aug 2024
Deep Generative Classification of Blood Cell Morphology
Deep Generative Classification of Blood Cell Morphology
Simon Deltadahl
J. Gilbey
C. V. Laer
Nancy Boeckx
M. Leers
...
Nicholas S. Gleadall
Carola-Bibiane Schönlieb
S. Sivapalaratnam
Michael Roberts
P. Nachev
DiffM
MedIm
44
0
0
16 Aug 2024
Uncertainty-Informed Volume Visualization using Implicit Neural
  Representation
Uncertainty-Informed Volume Visualization using Implicit Neural Representation
Shanu Saklani
Chitwan Goel
Shrey Bansal
Zhe Wang
Soumya Dutta
Tushar M. Athawale
D. Pugmire
Christopher R. Johnson
50
0
0
12 Aug 2024
Improved Robustness for Deep Learning-based Segmentation of Multi-Center
  Myocardial Perfusion MRI Datasets Using Data Adaptive Uncertainty-guided
  Space-time Analysis
Improved Robustness for Deep Learning-based Segmentation of Multi-Center Myocardial Perfusion MRI Datasets Using Data Adaptive Uncertainty-guided Space-time Analysis
D. M. Yalcinkaya
Khalid Youssef
Bobak Heydari
Janet Wei
N. Merz
...
R. Dharmakumar
Orlando Simonetti
J. Weinsaft
Subha V. Raman
Behzad Sharif
23
0
0
09 Aug 2024
Ensemble everything everywhere: Multi-scale aggregation for adversarial
  robustness
Ensemble everything everywhere: Multi-scale aggregation for adversarial robustness
Stanislav Fort
Balaji Lakshminarayanan
OOD
AAML
36
4
0
08 Aug 2024
Evaluating Posterior Probabilities: Decision Theory, Proper Scoring
  Rules, and Calibration
Evaluating Posterior Probabilities: Decision Theory, Proper Scoring Rules, and Calibration
Luciana Ferrer
Daniel Ramos
UQCV
33
4
0
05 Aug 2024
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