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Can You Trust Your Model's Uncertainty? Evaluating Predictive
  Uncertainty Under Dataset Shift
v1v2 (latest)

Can You Trust Your Model's Uncertainty? Evaluating Predictive Uncertainty Under Dataset Shift

6 June 2019
Yaniv Ovadia
Emily Fertig
Jie Jessie Ren
Zachary Nado
D. Sculley
Sebastian Nowozin
Joshua V. Dillon
Balaji Lakshminarayanan
Jasper Snoek
    UQCV
ArXiv (abs)PDFHTML

Papers citing "Can You Trust Your Model's Uncertainty? Evaluating Predictive Uncertainty Under Dataset Shift"

50 / 1,062 papers shown
Title
Accurate and Reliable Methods for 5G UAV Jamming Identification With
  Calibrated Uncertainty
Accurate and Reliable Methods for 5G UAV Jamming Identification With Calibrated Uncertainty
Hamed Farkhari
Joseanne Viana
P. Sebastião
L. M. Campos
Luís Bernardo
R. Dinis
Sarang Kahvazadeh
UQCV
34
2
0
05 Nov 2022
Quantifying Model Uncertainty for Semantic Segmentation using Operators
  in the RKHS
Quantifying Model Uncertainty for Semantic Segmentation using Operators in the RKHS
Rishabh Singh
José C. Príncipe
UQCV
68
3
0
03 Nov 2022
Towards Better Out-of-Distribution Generalization of Neural Algorithmic
  Reasoning Tasks
Towards Better Out-of-Distribution Generalization of Neural Algorithmic Reasoning Tasks
Sadegh Mahdavi
Kevin Swersky
Thomas Kipf
Milad Hashemi
Christos Thrampoulidis
Renjie Liao
LRMOODNAI
104
26
0
01 Nov 2022
Behavioral Intention Prediction in Driving Scenes: A Survey
Behavioral Intention Prediction in Driving Scenes: A Survey
Jianwu Fang
Fan Wang
Jianru Xue
Tat-Seng Chua
171
50
0
01 Nov 2022
A Close Look into the Calibration of Pre-trained Language Models
A Close Look into the Calibration of Pre-trained Language Models
Yangyi Chen
Lifan Yuan
Ganqu Cui
Zhiyuan Liu
Heng Ji
153
52
0
31 Oct 2022
Unsafe's Betrayal: Abusing Unsafe Rust in Binary Reverse Engineering via
  Machine Learning
Unsafe's Betrayal: Abusing Unsafe Rust in Binary Reverse Engineering via Machine Learning
Sangdon Park
Xiang Cheng
Taesoo Kim
87
1
0
31 Oct 2022
Federated Averaging Langevin Dynamics: Toward a unified theory and new
  algorithms
Federated Averaging Langevin Dynamics: Toward a unified theory and new algorithms
Vincent Plassier
Alain Durmus
Eric Moulines
FedML
111
7
0
31 Oct 2022
A Graph Is More Than Its Nodes: Towards Structured Uncertainty-Aware
  Learning on Graphs
A Graph Is More Than Its Nodes: Towards Structured Uncertainty-Aware Learning on Graphs
Hans Hao-Hsun Hsu
Yuesong Shen
Daniel Cremers
80
7
0
27 Oct 2022
Revisiting Softmax for Uncertainty Approximation in Text Classification
Revisiting Softmax for Uncertainty Approximation in Text Classification
Andreas Nugaard Holm
Dustin Wright
Isabelle Augenstein
BDLUQCV
51
10
0
25 Oct 2022
MEET: A Monte Carlo Exploration-Exploitation Trade-off for Buffer
  Sampling
MEET: A Monte Carlo Exploration-Exploitation Trade-off for Buffer Sampling
Julius Ott
Lorenzo Servadei
Jose A. Arjona-Medina
E. Rinaldi
Gianfranco Mauro
Daniela Sanchez Lopera
Michael Stephan
Thomas Stadelmayer
Avik Santra
Robert Wille
62
0
0
24 Oct 2022
Bridging Machine Learning and Sciences: Opportunities and Challenges
Bridging Machine Learning and Sciences: Opportunities and Challenges
Taoli Cheng
UQCVOODAI4CE
61
2
0
24 Oct 2022
GFlowOut: Dropout with Generative Flow Networks
GFlowOut: Dropout with Generative Flow Networks
Dianbo Liu
Moksh Jain
Bonaventure F. P. Dossou
Qianli Shen
Salem Lahlou
...
Dinghuai Zhang
N. Hassen
Xu Ji
Kenji Kawaguchi
Yoshua Bengio
UQCVBDLOOD
109
22
0
24 Oct 2022
Uncertainty Estimates of Predictions via a General Bias-Variance
  Decomposition
Uncertainty Estimates of Predictions via a General Bias-Variance Decomposition
Sebastian G. Gruber
Florian Buettner
PERUQCVUD
297
13
0
21 Oct 2022
Exploring Predictive Uncertainty and Calibration in NLP: A Study on the
  Impact of Method & Data Scarcity
Exploring Predictive Uncertainty and Calibration in NLP: A Study on the Impact of Method & Data Scarcity
Dennis Ulmer
J. Frellsen
Christian Hardmeier
264
23
0
20 Oct 2022
Uncertainty estimation for out-of-distribution detection in
  computational histopathology
Uncertainty estimation for out-of-distribution detection in computational histopathology
Lea Goetz
OOD
74
0
0
18 Oct 2022
Disentangling the Predictive Variance of Deep Ensembles through the
  Neural Tangent Kernel
Disentangling the Predictive Variance of Deep Ensembles through the Neural Tangent Kernel
Seijin Kobayashi
Pau Vilimelis Aceituno
J. Oswald
UQCV
87
3
0
18 Oct 2022
Packed-Ensembles for Efficient Uncertainty Estimation
Packed-Ensembles for Efficient Uncertainty Estimation
Olivier Laurent
Adrien Lafage
Enzo Tartaglione
Geoffrey Daniel
Jean-Marc Martinez
Andrei Bursuc
Gianni Franchi
OODD
145
32
0
17 Oct 2022
Distributional Reward Estimation for Effective Multi-Agent Deep
  Reinforcement Learning
Distributional Reward Estimation for Effective Multi-Agent Deep Reinforcement Learning
Jifeng Hu
Yanchao Sun
Hechang Chen
Sili Huang
Haiyin Piao
Yi-Ju Chang
Lichao Sun
64
5
0
14 Oct 2022
Deep Combinatorial Aggregation
Deep Combinatorial Aggregation
Yuesong Shen
Daniel Cremers
OODUQCV
52
4
0
12 Oct 2022
Quantifying Uncertainty with Probabilistic Machine Learning Modeling in
  Wireless Sensing
Quantifying Uncertainty with Probabilistic Machine Learning Modeling in Wireless Sensing
Amit Kachroo
Sai Prashanth Chinnapalli
145
0
0
12 Oct 2022
Efficient Bayesian Updates for Deep Learning via Laplace Approximations
Efficient Bayesian Updates for Deep Learning via Laplace Approximations
Denis Huseljic
M. Herde
Lukas Rauch
Paul Hahn
Zhixin Huang
D. Kottke
S. Vogt
Bernhard Sick
BDL
67
0
0
12 Oct 2022
Robust Models are less Over-Confident
Robust Models are less Over-Confident
Julia Grabinski
Paul Gavrikov
J. Keuper
Margret Keuper
AAML
80
25
0
12 Oct 2022
What does a deep neural network confidently perceive? The effective
  dimension of high certainty class manifolds and their low confidence
  boundaries
What does a deep neural network confidently perceive? The effective dimension of high certainty class manifolds and their low confidence boundaries
Stanislav Fort
E. D. Cubuk
Surya Ganguli
S. Schoenholz
57
5
0
11 Oct 2022
Detect, Distill and Update: Learned DB Systems Facing Out of
  Distribution Data
Detect, Distill and Update: Learned DB Systems Facing Out of Distribution Data
M. Kurmanji
Peter Triantafillou
OODAAML
88
18
0
11 Oct 2022
Sampling-based inference for large linear models, with application to
  linearised Laplace
Sampling-based inference for large linear models, with application to linearised Laplace
Javier Antorán
Shreyas Padhy
Riccardo Barbano
Eric T. Nalisnick
David Janz
José Miguel Hernández-Lobato
BDL
53
17
0
10 Oct 2022
Revisiting adapters with adversarial training
Revisiting adapters with adversarial training
Sylvestre-Alvise Rebuffi
Francesco Croce
Sven Gowal
AAML
60
17
0
10 Oct 2022
Uncertainty Quantification with Pre-trained Language Models: A
  Large-Scale Empirical Analysis
Uncertainty Quantification with Pre-trained Language Models: A Large-Scale Empirical Analysis
Yuxin Xiao
Paul Pu Liang
Umang Bhatt
Willie Neiswanger
Ruslan Salakhutdinov
Louis-Philippe Morency
253
98
0
10 Oct 2022
State Advantage Weighting for Offline RL
State Advantage Weighting for Offline RL
Jiafei Lyu
Aicheng Gong
Le Wan
Zongqing Lu
Xiu Li
OffRL
87
9
0
09 Oct 2022
A Review of Uncertainty Calibration in Pretrained Object Detectors
A Review of Uncertainty Calibration in Pretrained Object Detectors
Denis Huseljic
M. Herde
Mehmet Muejde
Bernhard Sick
UQCV
31
0
0
06 Oct 2022
Uncertainty Estimation for Multi-view Data: The Power of Seeing the
  Whole Picture
Uncertainty Estimation for Multi-view Data: The Power of Seeing the Whole Picture
M. Jung
He Zhao
Joanna Dipnall
Lan Du
Lan Du
UQCVEDL
96
12
0
06 Oct 2022
Trustworthy clinical AI solutions: a unified review of uncertainty
  quantification in deep learning models for medical image analysis
Trustworthy clinical AI solutions: a unified review of uncertainty quantification in deep learning models for medical image analysis
Benjamin Lambert
Florence Forbes
A. Tucholka
Senan Doyle
Harmonie Dehaene
M. Dojat
110
90
0
05 Oct 2022
GMMSeg: Gaussian Mixture based Generative Semantic Segmentation Models
GMMSeg: Gaussian Mixture based Generative Semantic Segmentation Models
Chen Liang
Wenguan Wang
Jiaxu Miao
Yi Yang
VLM
106
122
0
05 Oct 2022
Meta-Ensemble Parameter Learning
Meta-Ensemble Parameter Learning
Zhengcong Fei
Shuman Tian
Junshi Huang
Xiaoming Wei
Xiaolin K. Wei
OOD
114
2
0
05 Oct 2022
Out-of-Distribution Detection and Selective Generation for Conditional
  Language Models
Out-of-Distribution Detection and Selective Generation for Conditional Language Models
Jie Jessie Ren
Jiaming Luo
Yao-Min Zhao
Kundan Krishna
Mohammad Saleh
Balaji Lakshminarayanan
Peter J. Liu
OODD
129
114
0
30 Sep 2022
Scale-invariant Bayesian Neural Networks with Connectivity Tangent
  Kernel
Scale-invariant Bayesian Neural Networks with Connectivity Tangent Kernel
Sungyub Kim
Si-hun Park
Kyungsu Kim
Eunho Yang
BDL
84
5
0
30 Sep 2022
Variable-Based Calibration for Machine Learning Classifiers
Variable-Based Calibration for Machine Learning Classifiers
Mark Kelly
Padhraic Smyth
55
4
0
30 Sep 2022
Raising the Bar on the Evaluation of Out-of-Distribution Detection
Raising the Bar on the Evaluation of Out-of-Distribution Detection
Jishnu Mukhoti
Tsung-Yu Lin
Bor-Chun Chen
Ashish Shah
Philip Torr
P. Dokania
Ser-Nam Lim
OODD
52
4
0
24 Sep 2022
Expanding the Deployment Envelope of Behavior Prediction via Adaptive
  Meta-Learning
Expanding the Deployment Envelope of Behavior Prediction via Adaptive Meta-Learning
Boris Ivanovic
James Harrison
Marco Pavone
AI4CE
101
28
0
23 Sep 2022
Evaluating Latent Space Robustness and Uncertainty of EEG-ML Models
  under Realistic Distribution Shifts
Evaluating Latent Space Robustness and Uncertainty of EEG-ML Models under Realistic Distribution Shifts
Neeraj Wagh
Jionghao Wei
Samarth Rawal
Brent M. Berry
Y. Varatharajah
OOD
93
12
0
22 Sep 2022
Probabilistic Dalek -- Emulator framework with probabilistic prediction
  for supernova tomography
Probabilistic Dalek -- Emulator framework with probabilistic prediction for supernova tomography
W. E. Kerzendorf
Nutan Chen
Jack O'Brien
J. Buchner
Patrick van der Smagt
MedIm
29
0
0
20 Sep 2022
Two-stage Modeling for Prediction with Confidence
Two-stage Modeling for Prediction with Confidence
Dangxing Chen
OODDOOD
43
1
0
19 Sep 2022
RankFeat: Rank-1 Feature Removal for Out-of-distribution Detection
RankFeat: Rank-1 Feature Removal for Out-of-distribution Detection
Yue Song
N. Sebe
Wei Wang
OODD
133
58
0
18 Sep 2022
Deep Convolutional Architectures for Extrapolative Forecast in
  Time-dependent Flow Problems
Deep Convolutional Architectures for Extrapolative Forecast in Time-dependent Flow Problems
Pratyush Bhatt
Y. Kumar
A. Soulaïmani
AI4TSAI4CE
41
6
0
18 Sep 2022
Linking Neural Collapse and L2 Normalization with Improved
  Out-of-Distribution Detection in Deep Neural Networks
Linking Neural Collapse and L2 Normalization with Improved Out-of-Distribution Detection in Deep Neural Networks
J. Haas
William Yolland
B. Rabus
OODD
103
20
0
17 Sep 2022
Uncertainty Quantification of Collaborative Detection for Self-Driving
Uncertainty Quantification of Collaborative Detection for Self-Driving
Sanbao Su
Yiming Li
Sihong He
Songyang Han
Chen Feng
Caiwen Ding
Fei Miao
174
57
0
16 Sep 2022
Operationalizing Machine Learning: An Interview Study
Operationalizing Machine Learning: An Interview Study
Shreya Shankar
Rolando Garcia
J. M. Hellerstein
Aditya G. Parameswaran
116
54
0
16 Sep 2022
Vision-Based Uncertainty-Aware Motion Planning based on Probabilistic
  Semantic Segmentation
Vision-Based Uncertainty-Aware Motion Planning based on Probabilistic Semantic Segmentation
Ralf Römer
Armin Lederer
Samuel Tesfazgi
Sandra Hirche
45
2
0
14 Sep 2022
Towards Better Generalization with Flexible Representation of
  Multi-Module Graph Neural Networks
Towards Better Generalization with Flexible Representation of Multi-Module Graph Neural Networks
Hyungeun Lee
Kijung Yoon
AI4CE
69
2
0
14 Sep 2022
Active Learning and Novel Model Calibration Measurements for Automated
  Visual Inspection in Manufacturing
Active Learning and Novel Model Calibration Measurements for Automated Visual Inspection in Manufacturing
Jože M. Rožanec
Luka Bizjak
Elena Trajkova
Patrik Zajec
Jelle Keizer
B. Fortuna
Dunja Mladenić
54
11
0
12 Sep 2022
Calibrating Segmentation Networks with Margin-based Label Smoothing
Calibrating Segmentation Networks with Margin-based Label Smoothing
Balamurali Murugesan
Bingyuan Liu
Adrian Galdran
Ismail Ben Ayed
Jose Dolz
UQCV
49
0
0
09 Sep 2022
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