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2504.01781
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Proper scoring rules for estimation and forecast evaluation
2 April 2025
Kartik Waghmare
Johanna Ziegel
AI4TS
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Papers citing
"Proper scoring rules for estimation and forecast evaluation"
50 / 54 papers shown
Title
Efficient Imitation under Misspecification
Nicolas Espinosa-Dice
Sanjiban Choudhury
Wen Sun
Gokul Swamy
77
1
0
17 Mar 2025
Stein's unbiased risk estimate and Hyvärinen's score matching
Sulagna Ghosh
Nikolaos Ignatiadis
Frederic Koehler
Amber Lee
78
1
0
27 Feb 2025
Distributional regression: CRPS-error bounds for model fitting, model selection and convex aggregation
Clément Dombry
Ahmed Zaoui
149
3
0
21 Nov 2024
Is Score Matching Suitable for Estimating Point Processes?
Haoqun Cao
Zizhuo Meng
Tianjun Ke
Feng Zhou
68
1
0
05 Oct 2024
Language Generation with Strictly Proper Scoring Rules
Chenze Shao
Fandong Meng
Yijin Liu
Jie Zhou
90
6
0
29 May 2024
Overview of AdaBoost : Reconciling its views to better understand its dynamics
Perceval Beja-Battais
23
7
0
06 Oct 2023
Variational Inference with Gaussian Score Matching
Chirag Modi
C. Margossian
Yuling Yao
Robert Mansel Gower
David M. Blei
Lawrence K. Saul
68
13
0
15 Jul 2023
Engression: Extrapolation through the Lens of Distributional Regression
Xinwei Shen
N. Meinshausen
UQCV
172
14
0
03 Jul 2023
Locally tail-scale invariant scoring rules for evaluation of extreme value forecasts
Helga Kristin Olafsdottir
Holger Rootzén
David Bolin
23
2
0
26 Jun 2023
Non-adversarial training of Neural SDEs with signature kernel scores
Zacharia Issa
Blanka Horvath
M. Lemercier
C. Salvi
AI4TS
104
26
0
25 May 2023
Proper Scoring Rules for Survival Analysis
H. Yanagisawa
55
6
0
01 May 2023
Statistical Efficiency of Score Matching: The View from Isoperimetry
Frederic Koehler
Alexander Heckett
Andrej Risteski
DiffM
141
51
0
03 Oct 2022
Generative machine learning methods for multivariate ensemble post-processing
Jieyu Chen
Tim Janke
Florian Steinke
Sebastian Lerch
69
30
0
26 Sep 2022
The Geometry and Calculus of Losses
Robert C. Williamson
Zac Cranko
65
6
0
01 Sep 2022
Distributional regression and its evaluation with the CRPS: Bounds and convergence of the minimax risk
Romain Pic
Clément Dombry
Philippe Naveau
Maxime Taillardat
87
5
0
09 May 2022
Score matching enables causal discovery of nonlinear additive noise models
Paul Rolland
Volkan Cevher
Matthäus Kleindessner
Chris Russel
Bernhard Schölkopf
Dominik Janzing
Francesco Locatello
CML
90
90
0
08 Mar 2022
Probabilistic Forecasting with Generative Networks via Scoring Rule Minimization
Lorenzo Pacchiardi
Rilwan A. Adewoyin
P. Dueben
Ritabrata Dutta
AI4TS
75
26
0
15 Dec 2021
Proper Scoring Rules, Gradients, Divergences, and Entropies for Paths and Time Series
Patric Bonnier
Harald Oberhauser
AI4TS
42
4
0
11 Nov 2021
Pseudo-Spherical Contrastive Divergence
Lantao Yu
Jiaming Song
Yang Song
Stefano Ermon
43
7
0
01 Nov 2021
Comparing Sequential Forecasters
Yo Joong Choe
Aaditya Ramdas
AI4TS
54
12
0
30 Sep 2021
Diffusion Models Beat GANs on Image Synthesis
Prafulla Dhariwal
Alex Nichol
268
7,938
0
11 May 2021
Survival Regression with Proper Scoring Rules and Monotonic Neural Networks
David Rindt
Robert Hu
D. Steinsaltz
Dino Sejdinovic
171
38
0
26 Mar 2021
Comparative evaluation of point process forecasts
Jonas R. Brehmer
T. Gneiting
M. Herrmann
W. Marzocchi
Martin Schlather
K. Strokorb
AI4TS
29
4
0
22 Mar 2021
Valid sequential inference on probability forecast performance
A. Henzi
J. Ziegel
41
37
0
15 Mar 2021
Score Matched Neural Exponential Families for Likelihood-Free Inference
Lorenzo Pacchiardi
Ritabrata Dutta
178
28
0
20 Dec 2020
Kernel Mean Embedding of Probability Measures and its Applications to Functional Data Analysis
Saeed Hayati
Kenji Fukumizu
A. Parvardeh
15
5
0
04 Nov 2020
A Spectral Energy Distance for Parallel Speech Synthesis
A. Gritsenko
Tim Salimans
Rianne van den Berg
Jasper Snoek
Nal Kalchbrenner
47
70
0
03 Aug 2020
Local scale invariance and robustness of proper scoring rules
David Bolin
J. Wallin
20
19
0
11 Dec 2019
Isotonic Distributional Regression
A. Henzi
J. Ziegel
T. Gneiting
110
62
0
09 Sep 2019
Generative Modeling by Estimating Gradients of the Data Distribution
Yang Song
Stefano Ermon
SyDa
DiffM
258
3,956
0
12 Jul 2019
Why scoring functions cannot assess tail properties
Jonas R. Brehmer
K. Strokorb
30
20
0
10 May 2019
Generative Adversarial Nets for Robust Scatter Estimation: A Proper Scoring Rule Perspective
Chao Gao
Yuan Yao
Weizhi Zhu
58
22
0
05 Mar 2019
Countdown Regression: Sharp and Calibrated Survival Predictions
Anand Avati
Tony Duan
Sharon Zhou
Kenneth Jung
N. Shah
A. Ng
346
55
0
21 Jun 2018
Strictly proper kernel scores and characteristic kernels on compact spaces
Ingo Steinwart
J. Ziegel
51
25
0
14 Dec 2017
Learning in Implicit Generative Models
S. Mohamed
Balaji Lakshminarayanan
GAN
199
417
0
11 Oct 2016
Score matching estimators for directional distributions
K. Mardia
J. Kent
A. Laha
43
36
0
28 Apr 2016
Variational Hamiltonian Monte Carlo via Score Matching
Cheng Zhang
Babak Shahbaba
Hongkai Zhao
BDL
50
26
0
06 Feb 2016
Training generative neural networks via Maximum Mean Discrepancy optimization
Gintare Karolina Dziugaite
Daniel M. Roy
Zoubin Ghahramani
GAN
84
530
0
14 May 2015
Higher order elicitability and Osband's principle
Tobias Fissler
J. Ziegel
42
328
0
27 Mar 2015
Generative Moment Matching Networks
Yujia Li
Kevin Swersky
R. Zemel
OOD
GAN
116
847
0
10 Feb 2015
Existence and Uniqueness of Proper Scoring Rules
E. Ovcharov
53
6
0
04 Feb 2015
Proper Scoring Rules and Bregman Divergences
E. Ovcharov
72
23
0
04 Feb 2015
Bayesian Model Selection Based on Proper Scoring Rules
Philip Dawid
M. Musio
73
58
0
18 Sep 2014
Minimum scoring rule inference
A. Dawid
M. Musio
L. Ventura
67
68
0
16 Mar 2014
Theory and Applications of Proper Scoring Rules
A. Dawid
M. Musio
166
124
0
02 Jan 2014
Linear Estimating Equations for Exponential Families with Application to Gaussian Linear Concentration Models
Peter G. M. Forbes
Steffen Lauritzen
67
34
0
04 Nov 2013
Equivalence of distance-based and RKHS-based statistics in hypothesis testing
Dino Sejdinovic
Bharath K. Sriperumbudur
Arthur Gretton
Kenji Fukumizu
221
687
0
25 Jul 2012
Proper local scoring rules on discrete sample spaces
Philip Dawid
Steffen Lauritzen
M. Parry
79
57
0
12 Apr 2011
Local proper scoring rules of order two
W. Ehm
T. Gneiting
78
44
0
24 Feb 2011
Proper local scoring rules
M. Parry
A. Dawid
Steffen Lauritzen
113
140
0
26 Jan 2011
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