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DeepAR: Probabilistic Forecasting with Autoregressive Recurrent Networks

DeepAR: Probabilistic Forecasting with Autoregressive Recurrent Networks

13 April 2017
David Salinas
Valentin Flunkert
Jan Gasthaus
    AI4TS
    UQCV
    BDL
ArXivPDFHTML

Papers citing "DeepAR: Probabilistic Forecasting with Autoregressive Recurrent Networks"

50 / 263 papers shown
Title
This Time is Different: An Observability Perspective on Time Series Foundation Models
This Time is Different: An Observability Perspective on Time Series Foundation Models
Ben Cohen
Emaad Khwaja
Youssef Doubli
Salahidine Lemaachi
Chris Lettieri
...
Kan Wang
Stephan Xie
David Asker
Ameet Talwalkar
Othmane Abou-Amal
AI4TS
AI4CE
17
0
0
20 May 2025
Logo-LLM: Local and Global Modeling with Large Language Models for Time Series Forecasting
Logo-LLM: Local and Global Modeling with Large Language Models for Time Series Forecasting
Wenjie Ou
Zhishuo Zhao
Dongyue Guo
Yi Lin
AI4TS
22
0
0
16 May 2025
ChronoSteer: Bridging Large Language Model and Time Series Foundation Model via Synthetic Data
ChronoSteer: Bridging Large Language Model and Time Series Foundation Model via Synthetic Data
Chengsen Wang
Qi Qi
Zhongwen Rao
Lujia Pan
Jingyu Wang
Jianxin Liao
AI4TS
24
0
0
15 May 2025
IRNN: Innovation-driven Recurrent Neural Network for Time-Series Data Modeling and Prediction
IRNN: Innovation-driven Recurrent Neural Network for Time-Series Data Modeling and Prediction
Yifan Zhou
Yibo Wang
Chao Shang
AI4TS
54
0
0
09 May 2025
Hierarchical Forecast Reconciliation on Networks: A Network Flow Optimization Formulation
Hierarchical Forecast Reconciliation on Networks: A Network Flow Optimization Formulation
Charupriya Sharma
Iñaki Estella Aguerri
Daniel Guimarans
AI4TS
26
0
0
06 May 2025
Unlocking the Potential of Linear Networks for Irregular Multivariate Time Series Forecasting
Unlocking the Potential of Linear Networks for Irregular Multivariate Time Series Forecasting
Chengsen Wang
Q. Qi
Yufei Guo
Haifeng Sun
Zirui Zhuang
J. Liao
AI4TS
45
0
0
01 May 2025
D-Tracker: Modeling Interest Diffusion in Social Activity Tensor Data Streams
D-Tracker: Modeling Interest Diffusion in Social Activity Tensor Data Streams
Shingo Higashiguchi
Yasuko Matsubara
Koki Kawabata
Taichi Murayama
Yasushi Sakurai
AI4TS
31
0
0
01 May 2025
A comparative study of deep learning and ensemble learning to extend the horizon of traffic forecasting
A comparative study of deep learning and ensemble learning to extend the horizon of traffic forecasting
Xiao Zheng
Saeed Asadi Bagloee
Majid Sarvi
AI4TS
48
0
0
30 Apr 2025
Pretraining Large Brain Language Model for Active BCI: Silent Speech
Pretraining Large Brain Language Model for Active BCI: Silent Speech
Jinzhao Zhou
Zehong Cao
Yiqun Duan
Connor Barkley
Daniel Leong
...
Ziyi Zhao
T. Do
Yu-Cheng Chang
Sheng-Fu Liang
Chin-Teng Lin
42
0
0
29 Apr 2025
CANet: ChronoAdaptive Network for Enhanced Long-Term Time Series Forecasting under Non-Stationarity
CANet: ChronoAdaptive Network for Enhanced Long-Term Time Series Forecasting under Non-Stationarity
Mert Sonmezer
Seyda Ertekin
AI4TS
31
0
0
24 Apr 2025
Forecasting Cryptocurrency Prices using Contextual ES-adRNN with Exogenous Variables
Forecasting Cryptocurrency Prices using Contextual ES-adRNN with Exogenous Variables
Slawek Smyl
Grzegorz Dudek
Paweł Pełka
AI4TS
26
1
0
11 Apr 2025
ModelRadar: Aspect-based Forecast Evaluation
ModelRadar: Aspect-based Forecast Evaluation
Vítor Cerqueira
Luis Roque
Carlos Soares
64
0
0
31 Mar 2025
Informer in Algorithmic Investment Strategies on High Frequency Bitcoin Data
Informer in Algorithmic Investment Strategies on High Frequency Bitcoin Data
Filip Stefaniuk
Robert Ślepaczuk
AIFin
43
0
0
23 Mar 2025
Deep Learning for Time Series Forecasting: A Survey
X. Kong
Zhenghao Chen
Weiyao Liu
Kaili Ning
Lechao Zhang
Syauqie Muhammad Marier
Yichen Liu
Yuhao Chen
Feng Xia
AI4TS
AI4CE
58
4
0
13 Mar 2025
Time series forecasting based on optimized LLM for fault prediction in distribution power grid insulators
Time series forecasting based on optimized LLM for fault prediction in distribution power grid insulators
João Pedro Matos-Carvalho
Stefano Frizzo Stefenon
Valderi Reis Quietinho Leithardt
Kin-Choong Yow
AI4TS
43
0
0
24 Feb 2025
Modeling Time-evolving Causality over Data Streams
Modeling Time-evolving Causality over Data Streams
Naoki Chihara
Yasuko Matsubara
Ren Fujiwara
Yasushi Sakurai
AI4TS
88
0
0
13 Feb 2025
STAN: Smooth Transition Autoregressive Networks
STAN: Smooth Transition Autoregressive Networks
Hugo Inzirillo
Remi Genet
73
0
0
30 Jan 2025
AALF: Almost Always Linear Forecasting
AALF: Almost Always Linear Forecasting
Matthias Jakobs
Thomas Liebig
AI4TS
91
0
0
17 Jan 2025
Explore the Use of Time Series Foundation Model for Car-Following Behavior Analysis
Explore the Use of Time Series Foundation Model for Car-Following Behavior Analysis
Luwei Zeng
Runze Yan
AI4TS
53
0
0
13 Jan 2025
DistPred: A Distribution-Free Probabilistic Inference Method for Regression and Forecasting
DistPred: A Distribution-Free Probabilistic Inference Method for Regression and Forecasting
Daojun Liang
Haixia Zhang
Dongfeng Yuan
UQCV
77
0
0
08 Jan 2025
Explainable Time Series Prediction of Tyre Energy in Formula One Race Strategy
Explainable Time Series Prediction of Tyre Energy in Formula One Race Strategy
Jamie Todd
Junqi Jiang
Aaron Russo
Steffen Winkler
Stuart Sale
Joseph McMillan
Antonio Rago
AI4TS
38
0
0
07 Jan 2025
TOTEM: TOkenized Time Series EMbeddings for General Time Series Analysis
TOTEM: TOkenized Time Series EMbeddings for General Time Series Analysis
Sabera Talukder
Yisong Yue
Georgia Gkioxari
AI4TS
58
13
0
03 Jan 2025
PSformer: Parameter-efficient Transformer with Segment Attention for Time Series Forecasting
PSformer: Parameter-efficient Transformer with Segment Attention for Time Series Forecasting
Yanlong Wang
Jinfeng Xu
Fei Ma
Shao-Lun Huang
Danny Dongning Sun
Xiao-Ping Zhang
AI4TS
45
1
0
03 Nov 2024
FACTS: A Factored State-Space Framework For World Modelling
FACTS: A Factored State-Space Framework For World Modelling
Li Nanbo
Firas Laakom
Yucheng Xu
Wenyi Wang
Jürgen Schmidhuber
AI4TS
235
0
0
28 Oct 2024
Towards Neural Scaling Laws for Time Series Foundation Models
Towards Neural Scaling Laws for Time Series Foundation Models
Qingren Yao
Chao-Han Huck Yang
Renhe Jiang
Keli Zhang
Ming Jin
Shirui Pan
AI4TS
AI4CE
53
8
0
16 Oct 2024
UmambaTSF: A U-shaped Multi-Scale Long-Term Time Series Forecasting
  Method Using Mamba
UmambaTSF: A U-shaped Multi-Scale Long-Term Time Series Forecasting Method Using Mamba
Li Wu
Wenbin Pei
Jiulong Jiao
Qiang Zhang
Mamba
AI4TS
43
2
0
15 Oct 2024
MVG-CRPS: A Robust Loss Function for Multivariate Probabilistic Forecasting
MVG-CRPS: A Robust Loss Function for Multivariate Probabilistic Forecasting
Vincent Zhihao Zheng
Lijun Sun
AI4TS
45
1
0
11 Oct 2024
Local Attention Mechanism: Boosting the Transformer Architecture for
  Long-Sequence Time Series Forecasting
Local Attention Mechanism: Boosting the Transformer Architecture for Long-Sequence Time Series Forecasting
Ignacio Aguilera-Martos
Andrés Herrera-Poyatos
Julián Luengo
Francisco Herrera
AI4TS
38
0
0
04 Oct 2024
Flow Matching with Gaussian Process Priors for Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting
Flow Matching with Gaussian Process Priors for Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting
Marcel Kollovieh
Marten Lienen
David Lüdke
Leo Schwinn
Stephan Günnemann
AI4TS
BDL
DiffM
50
6
0
03 Oct 2024
Time-MoE: Billion-Scale Time Series Foundation Models with Mixture of Experts
Time-MoE: Billion-Scale Time Series Foundation Models with Mixture of Experts
Xiaoming Shi
Shiyu Wang
Yuqi Nie
Dianqi Li
Zhou Ye
Qingsong Wen
Ming Jin
AI4TS
53
32
0
24 Sep 2024
A Gated Residual Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks for Mixtures of Experts
A Gated Residual Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks for Mixtures of Experts
Hugo Inzirillo
Remi Genet
MoE
40
4
0
23 Sep 2024
Location based Probabilistic Load Forecasting of EV Charging Sites: Deep
  Transfer Learning with Multi-Quantile Temporal Convolutional Network
Location based Probabilistic Load Forecasting of EV Charging Sites: Deep Transfer Learning with Multi-Quantile Temporal Convolutional Network
Mohammad Wazed Ali
Asif bin Mustafa
Md. Aukerul Moin Shuvo
Bernhard Sick
20
0
0
18 Sep 2024
D2Vformer: A Flexible Time Series Prediction Model Based on Time
  Position Embedding
D2Vformer: A Flexible Time Series Prediction Model Based on Time Position Embedding
Xiaobao Song
Hao Wang
Liwei Deng
Yuxin He
Wenming Cao
Chi-Sing Leungc
AI4TS
35
0
0
17 Sep 2024
Data-driven Modeling of Combined Sewer Systems for Urban Sustainability: An Empirical Evaluation
Data-driven Modeling of Combined Sewer Systems for Urban Sustainability: An Empirical Evaluation
Vipin Singh
Tianheng Ling
Teodor Chiaburu
Felix Biessmann
AI4CE
48
1
0
21 Aug 2024
Unlocking the Power of LSTM for Long Term Time Series Forecasting
Unlocking the Power of LSTM for Long Term Time Series Forecasting
Yaxuan Kong
Zepu Wang
Yuqi Nie
Tian Zhou
Stefan Zohren
Yuxuan Liang
Peng Sun
Qingsong Wen
AI4TS
35
12
0
19 Aug 2024
Link Representation Learning for Probabilistic Travel Time Estimation
Link Representation Learning for Probabilistic Travel Time Estimation
Chen Xu
Qiang Wang
Lijun Sun
AI4TS
34
0
0
08 Jul 2024
Large Scale Hierarchical Industrial Demand Time-Series Forecasting
  incorporating Sparsity
Large Scale Hierarchical Industrial Demand Time-Series Forecasting incorporating Sparsity
Harshavardhan Kamarthi
Aditya B. Sasanur
Xinjie Tong
Xingyu Zhou
James Peters
Joe Czyzyk
B. Aditya Prakash
AI4TS
34
2
0
02 Jul 2024
MambaTS: Improved Selective State Space Models for Long-term Time Series
  Forecasting
MambaTS: Improved Selective State Space Models for Long-term Time Series Forecasting
Xiuding Cai
Yaoyao Zhu
Xueyao Wang
Yu Yao
Mamba
AI4TS
43
7
0
26 May 2024
System Safety Monitoring of Learned Components Using Temporal Metric
  Forecasting
System Safety Monitoring of Learned Components Using Temporal Metric Forecasting
Sepehr Sharifi
Andrea Stocco
Lionel C. Briand
AI4TS
53
1
0
21 May 2024
From Fourier to Neural ODEs: Flow Matching for Modeling Complex Systems
From Fourier to Neural ODEs: Flow Matching for Modeling Complex Systems
Xin Li
Jingdong Zhang
Qunxi Zhu
Chengli Zhao
Xue Zhang
Xiaojun Duan
Wei Lin
63
3
0
19 May 2024
WEITS: A Wavelet-enhanced residual framework for interpretable time
  series forecasting
WEITS: A Wavelet-enhanced residual framework for interpretable time series forecasting
Ziyou Guo
Yan Sun
Tieru Wu
AI4TS
43
2
0
17 May 2024
LaT-PFN: A Joint Embedding Predictive Architecture for In-context
  Time-series Forecasting
LaT-PFN: A Joint Embedding Predictive Architecture for In-context Time-series Forecasting
Stijn Verdenius
Andrea Zerio
Roy L.M. Wang
BDL
AI4TS
AI4CE
39
2
0
16 May 2024
Enhancing Maritime Trajectory Forecasting via H3 Index and Causal
  Language Modelling (CLM)
Enhancing Maritime Trajectory Forecasting via H3 Index and Causal Language Modelling (CLM)
Nicolas Drapier
Aladine Chetouani
A. Chateigner
40
2
0
15 May 2024
Forecasting with Hyper-Trees
Forecasting with Hyper-Trees
Alexander März
Kashif Rasul
46
0
0
13 May 2024
Context Neural Networks: A Scalable Multivariate Model for Time Series
  Forecasting
Context Neural Networks: A Scalable Multivariate Model for Time Series Forecasting
Abishek Sriramulu
Christoph Bergmeir
Slawek Smyl
AI4TS
23
0
0
12 May 2024
Data Augmentation Policy Search for Long-Term Forecasting
Data Augmentation Policy Search for Long-Term Forecasting
Liran Nochumsohn
Omri Azencot
AI4TS
TPM
51
3
0
01 May 2024
Any-Quantile Probabilistic Forecasting of Short-Term Electricity Demand
Any-Quantile Probabilistic Forecasting of Short-Term Electricity Demand
Slawek Smyl
Boris N. Oreshkin
Paweł Pełka
Grzegorz Dudek
AI4TS
40
0
0
26 Apr 2024
Efficient Deterministic Renewable Energy Forecasting Guided by Multiple-Location Weather Data
Efficient Deterministic Renewable Energy Forecasting Guided by Multiple-Location Weather Data
C. Symeonidis
N. Nikolaidis
36
0
0
26 Apr 2024
Designing forecasting software for forecast users: Empowering
  non-experts to create and understand their own forecasts
Designing forecasting software for forecast users: Empowering non-experts to create and understand their own forecasts
Richard Stromer
Oskar Triebe
Chad Zanocco
Ram Rajagopal
AI4TS
24
0
0
22 Apr 2024
A Scalable and Transferable Time Series Prediction Framework for Demand
  Forecasting
A Scalable and Transferable Time Series Prediction Framework for Demand Forecasting
Young-Jin Park
Donghyun Kim
Frédéric Odermatt
Juho Lee
KyungHyun Kim
AI4TS
44
3
0
29 Feb 2024
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