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Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensembles

5 December 2016

Balaji Lakshminarayanan

Alexander Pritzel

Papers citing "Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensembles"

50 / 3,224 papers shown

Title
Quantifying Uncertainty in Motion Prediction with Variational Bayesian Mixture Juanwu Lu Can Cui Yunsheng Ma Aniket Bera Ziran Wang 80 3 0 04 Apr 2024
Mitigating LLM Hallucinations via Conformal Abstention Yasin Abbasi-Yadkori Ilja Kuzborskij David Stutz András György Adam Fisch ... Wei-Hung Weng Yao-Yuan Yang Csaba Szepesvári A. Cemgil Nenad Tomašev HILM 88 19 0 04 Apr 2024
Uncertainty in Language Models: Assessment through Rank-Calibration Xinmeng Huang Shuo Li Mengxin Yu Matteo Sesia Hamed Hassani Insup Lee Osbert Bastani Yan Sun 97 20 0 04 Apr 2024
Composite Bayesian Optimization In Function Spaces Using NEON -- Neural Epistemic Operator Networks Leonardo Ferreira Guilhoto P. Perdikaris BDL 90 2 0 03 Apr 2024
On-line conformalized neural networks ensembles for probabilistic forecasting of day-ahead electricity prices A. Brusaferri A. Ballarino Luigi Grossi F. Laurini AI4TS 93 3 0 03 Apr 2024
On the Importance of Uncertainty in Decision-Making with Large Language Models Nicolò Felicioni Lucas Maystre Sina Ghiassian K. Ciosek LLMAG 107 2 0 03 Apr 2024
FraGNNet: A Deep Probabilistic Model for Mass Spectrum Prediction A. Young Fei Wang D. Wishart Bo Wang Hannes L. Röst Russell Greiner 84 5 0 02 Apr 2024
Active Exploration in Bayesian Model-based Reinforcement Learning for Robot Manipulation Carlos Plou Ana C. Murillo Ruben Martinez-Cantin OffRL 95 0 0 02 Apr 2024
EventSleep: Sleep Activity Recognition with Event Cameras Carlos Plou Nerea Gallego Alberto Sabater Eduardo Montijano Pablo Urcola Luis Montesano Ruben Martinez-Cantin Ana C. Murillo 68 1 0 02 Apr 2024
NVINS: Robust Visual Inertial Navigation Fused with NeRF-augmented Camera Pose Regressor and Uncertainty Quantification Juyeop Han Lukas Lao Beyer G. V. Cavalheiro S. Karaman 113 2 0 01 Apr 2024
PDF: A Probability-Driven Framework for Open World 3D Point Cloud Semantic Segmentation Jinfeng Xu Siyuan Yang Xianzhi Li Yuan Tang Yixue Hao Long Hu Min Chen 3DPC 3DV 61 3 0 01 Apr 2024
From Robustness to Improved Generalization and Calibration in Pre-trained Language Models Josip Jukić Jan Snajder 97 0 0 31 Mar 2024
Neural Radiance Field-based Visual Rendering: A Comprehensive Review Mingyuan Yao Yukang Huo Yang Ran Qingbin Tian Ruifeng Wang Haihua Wang AI4CE 84 9 0 31 Mar 2024
LUQ: Long-text Uncertainty Quantification for LLMs Caiqi Zhang Fangyu Liu Marco Basaldella Nigel Collier HILM 86 40 0 29 Mar 2024
Modeling Weather Uncertainty for Multi-weather Co-Presence Estimation Qi Bi Shaodi You Theo Gevers 98 1 0 29 Mar 2024
On Uncertainty Quantification for Near-Bayes Optimal Algorithms Ziyu Wang Chris Holmes UQCV 105 3 0 28 Mar 2024
Uncertainty-Aware Deep Video Compression with Ensembles Wufei Ma Jiahao Li Bin Li Yan Lu 61 10 0 28 Mar 2024
Improving Cancer Imaging Diagnosis with Bayesian Networks and Deep Learning: A Bayesian Deep Learning Approach Pei Xi Lin Lin MedIm 23 0 0 28 Mar 2024
Modeling uncertainty for Gaussian Splatting L. S. Aira D. Valsesia E. Magli UQCV 3DGS 87 5 0 27 Mar 2024
Road Obstacle Detection based on Unknown Objectness Scores Chihiro Noguchi T. Ohgushi Masao Yamanaka 51 2 0 27 Mar 2024
Sanity Checks for Explanation Uncertainty Matias Valdenegro-Toro Mihir Mulye FAtt 93 0 0 25 Mar 2024
Bridging the Sim-to-Real Gap with Bayesian Inference Jonas Rothfuss Bhavya Sukhija Lenart Treven Florian Dorfler Stelian Coros Andreas Krause AI4CE 98 4 0 25 Mar 2024
Calibrating Bayesian UNet++ for Sub-Seasonal Forecasting Busra Asan Abdullah Akgul Alper Unal M. Kandemir Gözde B. Ünal BDL AI4TS 89 0 0 25 Mar 2024
EDUE: Expert Disagreement-Guided One-Pass Uncertainty Estimation for Medical Image Segmentation Kudaibergen Abutalip Numan Saeed I. Sobirov Vincent Andrearczyk Adrien Depeursinge Mohammad Yaqub UQCV 52 0 0 25 Mar 2024
Uncertainty Quantification for Gradient-based Explanations in Neural Networks Mihir Mulye Matias Valdenegro-Toro UQCV FAtt 120 0 0 25 Mar 2024
Calib3D: Calibrating Model Preferences for Reliable 3D Scene Understanding Lingdong Kong Xiang Xu Jun Cen Wenwei Zhang Liang Pan Kai-xiang Chen Ziwei Liu 125 7 0 25 Mar 2024
Enabling Uncertainty Estimation in Iterative Neural Networks Nikita Durasov Doruk Öner Jonathan Donier Hieu M. Le Pascal Fua UQCV 240 9 0 25 Mar 2024
Out-of-Distribution Detection via Deep Multi-Comprehension Ensemble Chenhui Xu Fuxun Yu Zirui Xu Nathan Inkawhich Xiang Chen OODD 86 6 0 24 Mar 2024
Deep Gaussian Covariance Network with Trajectory Sampling for Data-Efficient Policy Search Can Bogoclu Robert Vosshall K. Cremanns Dirk Roos BDL 54 1 0 23 Mar 2024
Autonomous Driving With Perception Uncertainties: Deep-Ensemble Based Adaptive Cruise Control Xiao Li H. E. Tseng Anouck Girard Ilya Kolmanovsky 74 2 0 22 Mar 2024
Hyperbolic Metric Learning for Visual Outlier Detection Alvaro Gonzalez-Jimenez Simone Lionetti Dena Bazazian Philippe Gottfrois Fabian Gröger Marc Pouly Alexander A. Navarini 85 2 0 22 Mar 2024
Evidential Semantic Mapping in Off-road Environments with Uncertainty-aware Bayesian Kernel Inference Junyoung Kim Junwon Seo Jihong Min UQCV 96 5 0 21 Mar 2024
Diversity-Aware Agnostic Ensemble of Sharpness Minimizers Anh-Vu Bui Vy Vo Tung Pham Dinh Q. Phung Trung Le FedML UQCV 72 1 0 19 Mar 2024
Estimation and Analysis of Slice Propagation Uncertainty in 3D Anatomy Segmentation Rachaell Nihalaani Tushar Kataria Jadie Adams Shireen Y. Elhabian 69 1 0 18 Mar 2024
Posterior Uncertainty Quantification in Neural Networks using Data Augmentation Luhuan Wu Sinead Williamson UQCV 91 7 0 18 Mar 2024
Probabilistic Calibration by Design for Neural Network Regression Victor Dheur Souhaib Ben Taieb 187 4 0 18 Mar 2024
Function-space Parameterization of Neural Networks for Sequential Learning Aidan Scannell Riccardo Mereu Paul E. Chang Ella Tamir Joni Pajarinen Arno Solin BDL 92 5 0 16 Mar 2024
Enhancing Out-of-Distribution Detection with Multitesting-based Layer-wise Feature Fusion Jiawei Li Sitong Li Shanshan Wang Yicheng Zeng Falong Tan Chuanlong Xie OODD 108 1 0 16 Mar 2024
Model Reprogramming Outperforms Fine-tuning on Out-of-distribution Data in Text-Image Encoders Andrew Geng Pin-Yu Chen OODD 87 1 0 16 Mar 2024
Using Uncertainty Quantification to Characterize and Improve Out-of-Domain Learning for PDEs S. C. Mouli Danielle C. Maddix S. Alizadeh Gaurav Gupta Andrew Stuart Michael W. Mahoney Yuyang Wang UQCV AI4CE 74 5 0 15 Mar 2024
Explainability through uncertainty: Trustworthy decision-making with neural networks Arthur Thuy Dries F. Benoit 98 15 0 15 Mar 2024
Uncertainty Quantification for cross-subject Motor Imagery classification Prithviraj Manivannan Ivo Pascal de Jong Matias Valdenegro-Toro A. Sburlea UQCV 77 1 0 14 Mar 2024
Scalable Spatiotemporal Prediction with Bayesian Neural Fields Feras A. Saad Jacob Burnim Colin Carroll Brian Patton Urs Köster Rif A. Saurous Matthew Hoffman BDL AI4TS AI4CE 66 9 0 12 Mar 2024
Open-World Semantic Segmentation Including Class Similarity Matteo Sodano Federico Magistri Lucas Nunes Jens Behley C. Stachniss VLM 71 8 0 12 Mar 2024
Adaptive Bounding Box Uncertainties via Two-Step Conformal Prediction Alexander Timans C. Straehle K. Sakmann Eric T. Nalisnick 83 10 0 12 Mar 2024
Koopman Ensembles for Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting Anthony Frion Lucas Drumetz Guillaume Tochon M. Dalla Mura Albdeldjalil Aissa El Bey AI4TS 50 0 0 11 Mar 2024
Uncertainty in Graph Neural Networks: A Survey Fangxin Wang Yuqing Liu Kay Liu Yibo Wang Sourav Medya Philip S. Yu AI4CE 141 10 0 11 Mar 2024
Towards Generalizable and Interpretable Motion Prediction: A Deep Variational Bayes Approach Juanwu Lu Wei Zhan Masayoshi Tomizuka Yeping Hu OOD BDL 85 3 0 10 Mar 2024
Detectors for Safe and Reliable LLMs: Implementations, Uses, and Limitations Swapnaja Achintalwar Adriana Alvarado Garcia Ateret Anaby-Tavor Ioana Baldini Sara E. Berger ... Aashka Trivedi Kush R. Varshney Dennis L. Wei Shalisha Witherspooon Marcel Zalmanovici 96 11 0 09 Mar 2024
Unified Uncertainty Estimation for Cognitive Diagnosis Models Fei-Yue Wang Qi Liu Enhong Chen Chuanren Liu Zhenya Huang Jinze Wu Shijin Wang 111 4 0 09 Mar 2024