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A Monte Carlo Framework for Calibrated Uncertainty Estimation in
  Sequence Prediction

A Monte Carlo Framework for Calibrated Uncertainty Estimation in Sequence Prediction

30 October 2024
Qidong Yang
Weicheng Zhu
Joseph Keslin
L. Zanna
Tim G. J. Rudner
Carlos Fernandez-Granda
    BDL
    UQCV
    AI4TS
ArXivPDFHTML

Papers citing "A Monte Carlo Framework for Calibrated Uncertainty Estimation in Sequence Prediction"

22 / 22 papers shown
Title
Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasts for Arbitrary Sequences
Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasts for Arbitrary Sequences
Charles Marx
Volodymyr Kuleshov
Stefano Ermon
AI4TS
67
1
0
27 Sep 2024
Function-Space Regularization in Neural Networks: A Probabilistic
  Perspective
Function-Space Regularization in Neural Networks: A Probabilistic Perspective
Tim G. J. Rudner
Sanyam Kapoor
Shikai Qiu
A. Wilson
70
13
0
28 Dec 2023
Adaptive Human Trajectory Prediction via Latent Corridors
Adaptive Human Trajectory Prediction via Latent Corridors
Neerja Thakkar
K. Mangalam
Andrea V. Bajcsy
Jitendra Malik
58
4
0
11 Dec 2023
Neural General Circulation Models for Weather and Climate
Neural General Circulation Models for Weather and Climate
Dmitrii Kochkov
J. Yuval
I. Langmore
Peter C. Norgaard
Jamie A. Smith
...
Peter W. Battaglia
Alvaro Sanchez-Gonzalez
Matthew Willson
Michael P. Brenner
Stephan Hoyer
AI4Cl
AI4CE
115
154
0
13 Nov 2023
Deep Learning for Day Forecasts from Sparse Observations
Deep Learning for Day Forecasts from Sparse Observations
Marcin Andrychowicz
L. Espeholt
Di Li
Samier Merchant
Alexander Merose
Fred Zyda
Shreya Agrawal
Nal Kalchbrenner
AI4Cl
72
66
0
06 Jun 2023
FourCastNet: A Global Data-driven High-resolution Weather Model using
  Adaptive Fourier Neural Operators
FourCastNet: A Global Data-driven High-resolution Weather Model using Adaptive Fourier Neural Operators
Jaideep Pathak
Shashank Subramanian
P. Harrington
S. Raja
Ashesh Chattopadhyay
...
Zong-Yi Li
Kamyar Azizzadenesheli
Pedram Hassanzadeh
K. Kashinath
Anima Anandkumar
AI4Cl
235
693
0
22 Feb 2022
Language Models are Few-Shot Learners
Language Models are Few-Shot Learners
Tom B. Brown
Benjamin Mann
Nick Ryder
Melanie Subbiah
Jared Kaplan
...
Christopher Berner
Sam McCandlish
Alec Radford
Ilya Sutskever
Dario Amodei
BDL
795
42,055
0
28 May 2020
Mix-n-Match: Ensemble and Compositional Methods for Uncertainty
  Calibration in Deep Learning
Mix-n-Match: Ensemble and Compositional Methods for Uncertainty Calibration in Deep Learning
Jize Zhang
B. Kailkhura
T. Y. Han
UQCV
83
227
0
16 Mar 2020
Calibrating Deep Neural Networks using Focal Loss
Calibrating Deep Neural Networks using Focal Loss
Jishnu Mukhoti
Viveka Kulharia
Amartya Sanyal
Stuart Golodetz
Philip Torr
P. Dokania
UQCV
81
463
0
21 Feb 2020
Image Captioning: Transforming Objects into Words
Image Captioning: Transforming Objects into Words
Simão Herdade
Armin Kappeler
K. Boakye
Joao Soares
ViT
116
470
0
14 Jun 2019
A Simple Baseline for Bayesian Uncertainty in Deep Learning
A Simple Baseline for Bayesian Uncertainty in Deep Learning
Wesley J. Maddox
T. Garipov
Pavel Izmailov
Dmitry Vetrov
A. Wilson
BDL
UQCV
84
808
0
07 Feb 2019
Non-Autoregressive Neural Machine Translation
Non-Autoregressive Neural Machine Translation
Jiatao Gu
James Bradbury
Caiming Xiong
Victor O.K. Li
R. Socher
102
796
0
07 Nov 2017
mixup: Beyond Empirical Risk Minimization
mixup: Beyond Empirical Risk Minimization
Hongyi Zhang
Moustapha Cissé
Yann N. Dauphin
David Lopez-Paz
NoLa
280
9,764
0
25 Oct 2017
Proximal Policy Optimization Algorithms
Proximal Policy Optimization Algorithms
John Schulman
Filip Wolski
Prafulla Dhariwal
Alec Radford
Oleg Klimov
OffRL
499
19,065
0
20 Jul 2017
Age Progression/Regression by Conditional Adversarial Autoencoder
Age Progression/Regression by Conditional Adversarial Autoencoder
Zhifei Zhang
Yang Song
Hairong Qi
GAN
CVBM
72
1,113
0
27 Feb 2017
Regularizing Neural Networks by Penalizing Confident Output
  Distributions
Regularizing Neural Networks by Penalizing Confident Output Distributions
Gabriel Pereyra
George Tucker
J. Chorowski
Lukasz Kaiser
Geoffrey E. Hinton
NoLa
163
1,141
0
23 Jan 2017
Image Captioning with Semantic Attention
Image Captioning with Semantic Attention
Quanzeng You
Hailin Jin
Zhaowen Wang
Chen Fang
Jiebo Luo
VLM
169
1,662
0
12 Mar 2016
Rethinking the Inception Architecture for Computer Vision
Rethinking the Inception Architecture for Computer Vision
Christian Szegedy
Vincent Vanhoucke
Sergey Ioffe
Jonathon Shlens
Z. Wojna
3DV
BDL
883
27,373
0
02 Dec 2015
Continuous control with deep reinforcement learning
Continuous control with deep reinforcement learning
Timothy Lillicrap
Jonathan J. Hunt
Alexander Pritzel
N. Heess
Tom Erez
Yuval Tassa
David Silver
Daan Wierstra
320
13,248
0
09 Sep 2015
Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in
  Deep Learning
Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learning
Y. Gal
Zoubin Ghahramani
UQCV
BDL
821
9,318
0
06 Jun 2015
Weight Uncertainty in Neural Networks
Weight Uncertainty in Neural Networks
Charles Blundell
Julien Cornebise
Koray Kavukcuoglu
Daan Wierstra
UQCV
BDL
187
1,887
0
20 May 2015
Neural Machine Translation by Jointly Learning to Align and Translate
Neural Machine Translation by Jointly Learning to Align and Translate
Dzmitry Bahdanau
Kyunghyun Cho
Yoshua Bengio
AIMat
558
27,311
0
01 Sep 2014
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