Forecasting AI Progress: A Research Agenda

Forecasting AI Progress: A Research Agenda

4 August 2020

Ross Gruetzemacher

Florian E. Dorner

Niko Bernaola-Alvarez

Charlie Giattino

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Papers citing "Forecasting AI Progress: A Research Agenda"

14 / 14 papers shown

Title
Measuring the Algorithmic Efficiency of Neural Networks Danny Hernandez Tom B. Brown 282 97 0 08 May 2020
TuringAdvice: A Generative and Dynamic Evaluation of Language Use Rowan Zellers Ari Holtzman Elizabeth Clark Lianhui Qin Ali Farhadi Yejin Choi ELM LRM 53 14 0 07 Apr 2020
Learning Occupational Task-Shares Dynamics for the Future of Work Subhro Das Sebastian Steffen Wyatt Clarke Prabhat Reddy Erik Brynjolfsson M. Fleming 27 25 0 28 Jan 2020
Scaling Laws for Neural Language Models Jared Kaplan Sam McCandlish T. Henighan Tom B. Brown B. Chess R. Child Scott Gray Alec Radford Jeff Wu Dario Amodei 639 4,921 0 23 Jan 2020
Exploring AI Futures Through Role Play S. Avin Ross Gruetzemacher J. Fox 30 19 0 19 Dec 2019
Exploring the Limits of Transfer Learning with a Unified Text-to-Text Transformer Colin Raffel Noam M. Shazeer Adam Roberts Katherine Lee Sharan Narang Michael Matena Yanqi Zhou Wei Li Peter J. Liu AIMat 490 20,342 0 23 Oct 2019
SuperGLUE: A Stickier Benchmark for General-Purpose Language Understanding Systems Alex Jinpeng Wang Yada Pruksachatkun Nikita Nangia Amanpreet Singh Julian Michael Felix Hill Omer Levy Samuel R. Bowman ELM 279 2,326 0 02 May 2019
Analysing Results from AI Benchmarks: Key Indicators and How to Obtain Them Fernando Martínez-Plumed José Hernández-Orallo 41 39 0 20 Nov 2018
GLUE: A Multi-Task Benchmark and Analysis Platform for Natural Language Understanding Alex Jinpeng Wang Amanpreet Singh Julian Michael Felix Hill Omer Levy Samuel R. Bowman ELM 1.1K 7,201 0 20 Apr 2018
The Malicious Use of Artificial Intelligence: Forecasting, Prevention, and Mitigation Miles Brundage S. Avin Jack Clark H. Toner P. Eckersley ... Owain Evans Michael Page Joanna J. Bryson Roman V. Yampolskiy Dario Amodei 84 708 0 20 Feb 2018
Expert and Non-Expert Opinion about Technological Unemployment T. Walsh 58 101 0 21 Jun 2017
When Will AI Exceed Human Performance? Evidence from AI Experts Katja Grace J. Salvatier Allan Dafoe Baobao Zhang Owain Evans ELM 56 624 0 24 May 2017
The AGI Containment Problem James Babcock János Kramár Roman V. Yampolskiy 88 276 0 02 Apr 2016
Modeling Progress in AI Miles Brundage 31 16 0 18 Dec 2015