Enforcing tail calibration when training probabilistic forecast models

16 June 2025

Papers citing "Enforcing tail calibration when training probabilistic forecast models"

11 / 11 papers shown

Title
Proper scoring rules for estimation and forecast evaluation Kartik Waghmare Johanna Ziegel AI4TS 199 2 0 02 Apr 2025
Theoretical Foundations of Conformal Prediction Anastasios Nikolas Angelopoulos Rina Foygel Barber Stephen Bates 182 37 0 18 Nov 2024
Improving probabilistic forecasts of extreme wind speeds by training statistical post-processing models with weighted scoring rules Jakob Benjamin Wessel Christopher A. T. Ferro Gavin R. Evans F. Kwasniok 76 3 0 22 Jul 2024
Generative machine learning methods for multivariate ensemble post-processing Jieyu Chen Tim Janke Florian Steinke Sebastian Lerch 69 30 0 26 Sep 2022
Probabilistic Forecasting with Generative Networks via Scoring Rule Minimization Lorenzo Pacchiardi Rilwan A. Adewoyin P. Dueben Ritabrata Dutta AI4TS 75 26 0 15 Dec 2021
Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of extremes using continuous ranked probability score distributions Maxime Taillardat Anne-Laure Fougères Philippe Naveau Raphaël de Fondeville 35 22 0 10 May 2019
Neural networks for post-processing ensemble weather forecasts S. Rasp Sebastian Lerch 150 347 0 23 May 2018
Evaluating probabilistic forecasts with scoringRules Alexander I. Jordan Fabian Kruger Sebastian Lerch AI4TS 180 242 0 14 Sep 2017
Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization Diederik P. Kingma Jimmy Ba ODL 2.0K 150,312 0 22 Dec 2014
Minimum scoring rule inference A. Dawid M. Musio L. Ventura 65 68 0 16 Mar 2014
Combining Predictive Distributions T. Gneiting Roopesh Ranjan 69 224 0 08 Jun 2011