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Is In-Context Learning in Large Language Models Bayesian? A Martingale Perspective

Is In-Context Learning in Large Language Models Bayesian? A Martingale Perspective

Fabian Falck
Ziyu Wang
Chris Holmes
ArXiv (abs)PDFHTML

Papers citing "Is In-Context Learning in Large Language Models Bayesian? A Martingale Perspective"

8 / 8 papers shown
Title
Counterfactual reasoning: an analysis of in-context emergence
Moritz Miller
Bernhard Schölkopf
Siyuan Guo
ReLMLRM
175
0
0
05 Jun 2025
Position: The Future of Bayesian Prediction Is Prior-Fitted
Position: The Future of Bayesian Prediction Is Prior-Fitted
Samuel G. Müller
Arik Reuter
Noah Hollmann
David Rügamer
Frank Hutter
34
0
0
29 May 2025
Are Large Language Models Reliable AI Scientists? Assessing Reverse-Engineering of Black-Box Systems
Are Large Language Models Reliable AI Scientists? Assessing Reverse-Engineering of Black-Box Systems
Jiayi Geng
Howard Chen
Dilip Arumugam
Thomas L. Griffiths
109
0
0
23 May 2025
Plan and Budget: Effective and Efficient Test-Time Scaling on Large Language Model Reasoning
Plan and Budget: Effective and Efficient Test-Time Scaling on Large Language Model Reasoning
Junhong Lin
Xinyue Zeng
Jie Zhu
Song Wang
Julian Shun
Jun Wu
Dawei Zhou
LRM
165
1
0
22 May 2025
Uncertainty Quantification for Prior-Data Fitted Networks using Martingale Posteriors
Uncertainty Quantification for Prior-Data Fitted Networks using Martingale Posteriors
Thomas Nagler
David Rügamer
UQCV
103
0
0
16 May 2025
Enough Coin Flips Can Make LLMs Act Bayesian
Enough Coin Flips Can Make LLMs Act Bayesian
Ritwik Gupta
Rodolfo Corona
Jiaxin Ge
Eric Wang
Dan Klein
Trevor Darrell
David M. Chan
BDLLRM
108
3
0
06 Mar 2025
In-Context Parametric Inference: Point or Distribution Estimators?
In-Context Parametric Inference: Point or Distribution Estimators?
Sarthak Mittal
Yoshua Bengio
Nikolay Malkin
Guillaume Lajoie
136
0
0
17 Feb 2025
Transformers Handle Endogeneity in In-Context Linear Regression
Transformers Handle Endogeneity in In-Context Linear Regression
Haodong Liang
Krishnakumar Balasubramanian
Lifeng Lai
144
2
0
02 Oct 2024

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