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Principles and Algorithms for Forecasting Groups of Time Series:
  Locality and Globality
v1v2v3 (latest)

Principles and Algorithms for Forecasting Groups of Time Series: Locality and Globality

2 August 2020
Pablo Montero-Manso
Rob J. Hyndman
    AI4TS
ArXiv (abs)PDFHTML

Papers citing "Principles and Algorithms for Forecasting Groups of Time Series: Locality and Globality"

50 / 51 papers shown
Title
The cost of ensembling: is it always worth combining?
The cost of ensembling: is it always worth combining?
Marco Zanotti
AI4TS
167
1
0
05 Jun 2025
On the retraining frequency of global forecasting models
On the retraining frequency of global forecasting models
Marco Zanotti
83
2
0
01 May 2025
Deep Learning for Time Series Forecasting: A Survey
X. Kong
Zhenghao Chen
Weiyao Liu
Kaili Ning
Lechao Zhang
Syauqie Muhammad Marier
Yichen Liu
Yuhao Chen
Xiwei Xu
AI4TSAI4CE
95
7
0
13 Mar 2025
TimeCHEAT: A Channel Harmony Strategy for Irregularly Sampled
  Multivariate Time Series Analysis
TimeCHEAT: A Channel Harmony Strategy for Irregularly Sampled Multivariate Time Series Analysis
Jiexi Liu
Meng Cao
Songcan Chen
AI4TS
133
2
0
17 Dec 2024
Local vs. Global Models for Hierarchical Forecasting
Local vs. Global Models for Hierarchical Forecasting
Zhao Yingjie
Mahdi Abolghasemi
AI4TS
55
1
0
10 Nov 2024
On the Regularization of Learnable Embeddings for Time Series Forecasting
On the Regularization of Learnable Embeddings for Time Series Forecasting
L. Butera
G. Felice
Andrea Cini
Cesare Alippi
AI4TS
99
0
0
18 Oct 2024
Designing Time-Series Models With Hypernetworks & Adversarial Portfolios
Designing Time-Series Models With Hypernetworks & Adversarial Portfolios
Filip Stanek
AI4TS
79
0
0
29 Jul 2024
Flusion: Integrating multiple data sources for accurate influenza
  predictions
Flusion: Integrating multiple data sources for accurate influenza predictions
E. Ray
Yijin Wang
Russell D. Wolfinger
N. Reich
55
4
0
26 Jul 2024
Forecasting with Hyper-Trees
Forecasting with Hyper-Trees
Alexander März
Kashif Rasul
130
0
0
13 May 2024
Hierarchical Neural Additive Models for Interpretable Demand Forecasts
Hierarchical Neural Additive Models for Interpretable Demand Forecasts
Leif Feddersen
Catherine Cleophas
BDLAI4TS
50
1
0
05 Apr 2024
From Similarity to Superiority: Channel Clustering for Time Series
  Forecasting
From Similarity to Superiority: Channel Clustering for Time Series Forecasting
Jialin Chen
J. E. Lenssen
Aosong Feng
Weihua Hu
Matthias Fey
Leandros Tassiulas
J. Leskovec
Rex Ying
AI4TS
86
16
0
31 Mar 2024
MCformer: Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Mixed-Channels
  Transformer
MCformer: Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Mixed-Channels Transformer
Wenyong Han
Tao Zhu
L. Chen
Huansheng Ning
Yang Luo
Yaping Wan
AI4TS
71
11
0
14 Mar 2024
Graph-based Virtual Sensing from Sparse and Partial Multivariate
  Observations
Graph-based Virtual Sensing from Sparse and Partial Multivariate Observations
G. Felice
Andrea Cini
Daniele Zambon
Vladimir V. Gusev
Cesare Alippi
84
7
0
19 Feb 2024
Deep Non-Parametric Time Series Forecaster
Deep Non-Parametric Time Series Forecaster
Syama Sundar Rangapuram
Jan Gasthaus
Lorenzo Stella
Valentin Flunkert
David Salinas
Yuyang Wang
Tim Januschowski
AI4TS
89
6
0
22 Dec 2023
RNN-BOF: A Multivariate Global Recurrent Neural Network for Binary
  Outcome Forecasting of Inpatient Aggression
RNN-BOF: A Multivariate Global Recurrent Neural Network for Binary Outcome Forecasting of Inpatient Aggression
Aidan Quinn
M. Simmons
B. Spivak
Christoph Bergmeir
58
0
0
02 Dec 2023
TimeSQL: Improving Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Multi-Scale
  Patching and Smooth Quadratic Loss
TimeSQL: Improving Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Multi-Scale Patching and Smooth Quadratic Loss
Site Mo
Haoxin Wang
Bixiong Li
Songhai Fan
Yuankai Wu
Xianggen Liu
AI4TS
48
13
0
19 Nov 2023
Impact of HPO on AutoML Forecasting Ensembles
Impact of HPO on AutoML Forecasting Ensembles
David Hoffmann
46
0
0
07 Nov 2023
Scalable Probabilistic Forecasting in Retail with Gradient Boosted
  Trees: A Practitioner's Approach
Scalable Probabilistic Forecasting in Retail with Gradient Boosted Trees: A Practitioner's Approach
Xueying Long
Quang Bui
G. Oktavian
Daniel F. Schmidt
Christoph Bergmeir
Rakshitha Godahewa
Seong Per Lee
Kaifeng Zhao
Paul Condylis
62
1
0
02 Nov 2023
On Forecast Stability
On Forecast Stability
Rakshitha Godahewa
Christoph Bergmeir
Zeynep Erkin Baz
Chengjun Zhu
Zhangdi Song
Salvador Garcia
Dario Benavides
65
3
0
26 Oct 2023
Graph Deep Learning for Time Series Forecasting
Graph Deep Learning for Time Series Forecasting
Andrea Cini
Ivan Marisca
Daniele Zambon
Cesare Alippi
AI4TSAI4CE
128
16
0
24 Oct 2023
Improving Forecasts for Heterogeneous Time Series by "Averaging", with
  Application to Food Demand Forecast
Improving Forecasts for Heterogeneous Time Series by "Averaging", with Application to Food Demand Forecast
L. Neubauer
Peter Filzmoser
AI4TS
45
3
0
12 Jun 2023
Deep Learning based Forecasting: a case study from the online fashion
  industry
Deep Learning based Forecasting: a case study from the online fashion industry
Manuel Kunz
Stefan Birr
Mones Raslan
Lei Ma
Zhuguo Li
...
Armin Kekić
Michael Narodovitch
Kashif Rasul
Julian Sieber
Tim Januschowski
117
16
0
23 May 2023
Time series clustering based on prediction accuracy of global
  forecasting models
Time series clustering based on prediction accuracy of global forecasting models
Ángel López-Oriona
Pablo Montero-Manso
José Antonio Vilar Fernández
AI4TS
35
0
0
30 Apr 2023
The Capacity and Robustness Trade-off: Revisiting the Channel
  Independent Strategy for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting
The Capacity and Robustness Trade-off: Revisiting the Channel Independent Strategy for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting
Lu Han
Han-Jia Ye
De-Chuan Zhan
AI4TS
104
101
0
11 Apr 2023
Handling Concept Drift in Global Time Series Forecasting
Handling Concept Drift in Global Time Series Forecasting
Ziyi Liu
Rakshitha Godahewa
Kasun Bandara
Christoph Bergmeir
AI4TS
55
9
0
04 Apr 2023
Local-Global Methods for Generalised Solar Irradiance Forecasting
Local-Global Methods for Generalised Solar Irradiance Forecasting
Timothy Cargan
Dario Landa Silva
I. Triguero
138
2
0
10 Mar 2023
Frugal day-ahead forecasting of multiple local electricity loads by
  aggregating adaptive models
Frugal day-ahead forecasting of multiple local electricity loads by aggregating adaptive models
Guillaume Lambert
Bachir Hamrouche
Joseph de Vilmarest
AI4TS
60
3
0
16 Feb 2023
Taming Local Effects in Graph-based Spatiotemporal Forecasting
Taming Local Effects in Graph-based Spatiotemporal Forecasting
Andrea Cini
Ivan Marisca
Daniele Zambon
Cesare Alippi
AI4TS
82
36
0
08 Feb 2023
A Concurrent CNN-RNN Approach for Multi-Step Wind Power Forecasting
A Concurrent CNN-RNN Approach for Multi-Step Wind Power Forecasting
Syed Kazmi
Berk Görgülü
Mucahit Cevik
M. Baydogan
56
5
0
02 Jan 2023
SETAR-Tree: A Novel and Accurate Tree Algorithm for Global Time Series
  Forecasting
SETAR-Tree: A Novel and Accurate Tree Algorithm for Global Time Series Forecasting
Rakshitha Godahewa
G. Webb
Daniel F. Schmidt
Christoph Bergmeir
61
9
0
16 Nov 2022
Experimental study of time series forecasting methods for groundwater
  level prediction
Experimental study of time series forecasting methods for groundwater level prediction
Michael Franklin Mbouopda
Thomas Guyet
Nicolas Labroche
Abel Henriot
74
1
0
28 Sep 2022
Causal Effect Estimation with Global Probabilistic Forecasting: A Case
  Study of the Impact of Covid-19 Lockdowns on Energy Demand
Causal Effect Estimation with Global Probabilistic Forecasting: A Case Study of the Impact of Covid-19 Lockdowns on Energy Demand
Ankitha Nandipura Prasanna
Priscila Grecov
Angela Dieyu Weng
Christoph Bergmeir
66
2
0
19 Sep 2022
Feature-based intermittent demand forecast combinations: bias, accuracy
  and inventory implications
Feature-based intermittent demand forecast combinations: bias, accuracy and inventory implications
Li Li
Yanfei Kang
F. Petropoulos
Feng Li
97
11
0
18 Apr 2022
A Global Modeling Approach for Load Forecasting in Distribution Networks
A Global Modeling Approach for Load Forecasting in Distribution Networks
M. Grabner
Yi Wang
Qingsong Wen
B. Blazic
Vitomir Štruc
41
3
0
01 Apr 2022
Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Latent Graph Inference
Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Latent Graph Inference
Victor Garcia Satorras
Syama Sundar Rangapuram
Tim Januschowski
AI4TS
94
30
0
07 Mar 2022
Multi-Objective Model Selection for Time Series Forecasting
Multi-Objective Model Selection for Time Series Forecasting
Oliver Borchert
David Salinas
Valentin Flunkert
Tim Januschowski
Stephan Günnemann
AI4TS
76
9
0
17 Feb 2022
TACTiS: Transformer-Attentional Copulas for Time Series
TACTiS: Transformer-Attentional Copulas for Time Series
Alexandre Drouin
Étienne Marcotte
Nicolas Chapados
AI4TS
283
39
0
07 Feb 2022
Self-Adaptive Forecasting for Improved Deep Learning on Non-Stationary
  Time-Series
Self-Adaptive Forecasting for Improved Deep Learning on Non-Stationary Time-Series
Sercan O. Arik
Nathanael Yoder
Tomas Pfister
TTAAI4TS
63
21
0
04 Feb 2022
Parameter Efficient Deep Probabilistic Forecasting
Parameter Efficient Deep Probabilistic Forecasting
O. Sprangers
Sebastian Schelter
Maarten de Rijke
BDLAI4TS
118
24
0
06 Dec 2021
LoMEF: A Framework to Produce Local Explanations for Global Model Time
  Series Forecasts
LoMEF: A Framework to Produce Local Explanations for Global Model Time Series Forecasts
Dilini Sewwandi Rajapaksha
Christoph Bergmeir
Rob J. Hyndman
FAttAI4TS
36
14
0
13 Nov 2021
Neural forecasting at scale
Neural forecasting at scale
Philippe Chatigny
Shengrui Wang
Jean-Marc Patenaude and
Boris N. Oreshkin
AI4TS
71
1
0
20 Sep 2021
A comparison of LSTM and GRU networks for learning symbolic sequences
A comparison of LSTM and GRU networks for learning symbolic sequences
Roberto Cahuantzi
Xinye Chen
S. Güttel
96
144
0
05 Jul 2021
Monash Time Series Forecasting Archive
Monash Time Series Forecasting Archive
Rakshitha Godahewa
Christoph Bergmeir
Geoffrey I. Webb
Rob J. Hyndman
Pablo Montero-Manso
AI4TS
85
162
0
14 May 2021
Time Series Forecasting via Learning Convolutionally Low-Rank Models
Time Series Forecasting via Learning Convolutionally Low-Rank Models
Guangcan Liu
AI4TS
63
13
0
23 Apr 2021
Variance Reduced Training with Stratified Sampling for Forecasting
  Models
Variance Reduced Training with Stratified Sampling for Forecasting Models
Yucheng Lu
Youngsuk Park
Lifan Chen
Bernie Wang
Christopher De Sa
Dean Phillips Foster
AI4TS
80
17
0
02 Mar 2021
Ensembles of Localised Models for Time Series Forecasting
Ensembles of Localised Models for Time Series Forecasting
Rakshitha Godahewa
Kasun Bandara
Geoffrey I. Webb
Slawek Smyl
Christoph Bergmeir
AI4TS
102
46
0
30 Dec 2020
Global Models for Time Series Forecasting: A Simulation Study
Global Models for Time Series Forecasting: A Simulation Study
Hansika Hewamalage
Christoph Bergmeir
Kasun Bandara
AI4TS
96
62
0
23 Dec 2020
An Accurate and Fully-Automated Ensemble Model for Weekly Time Series
  Forecasting
An Accurate and Fully-Automated Ensemble Model for Weekly Time Series Forecasting
Rakshitha Godahewa
Christoph Bergmeir
Geoffrey I. Webb
Pablo Montero-Manso
AI4TS
62
10
0
16 Oct 2020
Transfer Learning for Electricity Price Forecasting
Transfer Learning for Electricity Price Forecasting
Salih Gündüz
Umut Ugurlu
Ilkay Oksuz
AI4TS
62
27
0
05 Jul 2020
Deep Learning for Time Series Forecasting: Tutorial and Literature
  Survey
Deep Learning for Time Series Forecasting: Tutorial and Literature Survey
Konstantinos Benidis
Syama Sundar Rangapuram
Valentin Flunkert
Bernie Wang
Danielle C. Maddix
...
David Salinas
Lorenzo Stella
François-Xavier Aubet
Laurent Callot
Tim Januschowski
AI4TS
99
202
0
21 Apr 2020
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