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Beyond Point Estimates: Likelihood-Based Full-Posterior Wireless Localization

30 September 2025
Haozhe Lei
Hao Guo
Tommy Svensson
S. Rangan
    UQCV
ArXiv (abs)PDFHTML
Main:5 Pages
4 Figures
Bibliography:1 Pages
3 Tables
Abstract

Modern wireless systems require not only position estimates, but also quantified uncertainty to support planning, control, and radio resource management. We formulate localization as posterior inference of an unknown transmitter location from receiver measurements. We propose Monte Carlo Candidate-Likelihood Estimation (MC-CLE), which trains a neural scoring network using Monte Carlo sampling to compare true and candidate transmitter locations. We show that in line-of-sight simulations with a multi-antenna receiver, MC-CLE learns critical properties including angular ambiguity and front-to-back antenna patterns. MC-CLE also achieves lower cross-entropy loss relative to a uniform baseline and Gaussian posteriors. alternatives under a uniform-loss metric.

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