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Dynamic Modes as Time Representation for Spatiotemporal Forecasting

1 June 2025
Menglin Kong
Vincent Zhihao Zheng
Xudong Wang
Lijun Sun
    AI4TS
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Main:5 Pages
5 Figures
Bibliography:3 Pages
3 Tables
Abstract

This paper introduces a data-driven time embedding method for modeling long-range seasonal dependencies in spatiotemporal forecasting tasks. The proposed approach employs Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) to extract temporal modes directly from observed data, eliminating the need for explicit timestamps or hand-crafted time features. These temporal modes serve as time representations that can be seamlessly integrated into deep spatiotemporal forecasting models. Unlike conventional embeddings such as time-of-day indicators or sinusoidal functions, our method captures complex multi-scale periodicity through spectral analysis of spatiotemporal data. Extensive experiments on urban mobility, highway traffic, and climate datasets demonstrate that the DMD-based embedding consistently improves long-horizon forecasting accuracy, reduces residual correlation, and enhances temporal generalization. The method is lightweight, model-agnostic, and compatible with any architecture that incorporates time covariates.

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@article{kong2025_2506.01212,
  title={ Dynamic Modes as Time Representation for Spatiotemporal Forecasting },
  author={ Menglin Kong and Vincent Zhihao Zheng and Xudong Wang and Lijun Sun },
  journal={arXiv preprint arXiv:2506.01212},
  year={ 2025 }
}
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