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Mamba Integrated with Physics Principles Masters Long-term Chaotic System Forecasting

Main:9 Pages
15 Figures
Bibliography:5 Pages
11 Tables
Appendix:15 Pages
Abstract

Long-term forecasting of chaotic systems from short-term observations remains a fundamental and underexplored challenge due to the intrinsic sensitivity to initial conditions and the complex geometry of strange attractors. Existing approaches often rely on long-term training data or focus on short-term sequence correlations, struggling to maintain predictive stability and dynamical coherence over extended horizons. We propose PhyxMamba, a novel framework that integrates a Mamba-based state-space model with physics-informed principles to capture the underlying dynamics of chaotic systems. By reconstructing the attractor manifold from brief observations using time-delay embeddings, PhyxMamba extracts global dynamical features essential for accurate forecasting. Our generative training scheme enables Mamba to replicate the physical process, augmented by multi-token prediction and attractor geometry regularization for physical constraints, enhancing prediction accuracy and preserving key statistical invariants. Extensive evaluations on diverse simulated and real-world chaotic systems demonstrate that PhyxMamba delivers superior long-term forecasting and faithfully captures essential dynamical invariants from short-term data. This framework opens new avenues for reliably predicting chaotic systems under observation-scarce conditions, with broad implications across climate science, neuroscience, epidemiology, and beyond. Our code is open-source atthis https URL.

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@article{liu2025_2505.23863,
  title={ Mamba Integrated with Physics Principles Masters Long-term Chaotic System Forecasting },
  author={ Chang Liu and Bohao Zhao and Jingtao Ding and Huandong Wang and Yong Li },
  journal={arXiv preprint arXiv:2505.23863},
  year={ 2025 }
}
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