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Skewness of a randomized quasi-Monte Carlo estimate

Abstract

Some recent work on confidence intervals for randomized quasi-Monte Carlo (RQMC) sampling found a surprising result: ordinary Student tt 95\% confidence intervals based on a modest number of replicates were seen to be very effective and even more reliable than some bootstrap tt intervals that were expected to be best. One potential explanation is that those RQMC estimates have small skewness. In this paper we give conditions under which the skewness is O(nϵ)O(n^\epsilon) for any ϵ>0\epsilon>0, so `almost O(1)O(1)'. Under a random generator matrix model, we can improve this rate to O(n1/2+ϵ)O(n^{-1/2+\epsilon}) with very high probability. We also improve some probabilistic bounds on the distribution of the quality parameter tt for a digital net in a prime base under random sampling of generator matrices.

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