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WeatherBench 2: A benchmark for the next generation of data-driven global weather models

29 August 2023
S. Rasp
Stephan Hoyer
Alexander Merose
I. Langmore
Peter W. Battaglia
Tyler Russel
Alvaro Sanchez-Gonzalez
Vivian Q. Yang
Rob Carver
Shreya Agrawal
Matthew Chantry
Z. B. Bouallègue
P. Dueben
Carla Bromberg
Jared Sisk
Luke Barrington
Aaron Bell
Fei Sha
    AI4Cl
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Abstract

WeatherBench 2 is an update to the global, medium-range (1-14 day) weather forecasting benchmark proposed by Rasp et al. (2020), designed with the aim to accelerate progress in data-driven weather modeling. WeatherBench 2 consists of an open-source evaluation framework, publicly available training, ground truth and baseline data as well as a continuously updated website with the latest metrics and state-of-the-art models: https://sites.research.google/weatherbench. This paper describes the design principles of the evaluation framework and presents results for current state-of-the-art physical and data-driven weather models. The metrics are based on established practices for evaluating weather forecasts at leading operational weather centers. We define a set of headline scores to provide an overview of model performance. In addition, we also discuss caveats in the current evaluation setup and challenges for the future of data-driven weather forecasting.

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