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Traffic4cast at NeurIPS 2022 -- Predict Dynamics along Graph Edges from Sparse Node Data: Whole City Traffic and ETA from Stationary Vehicle Detectors

14 March 2023
M. Neun
Christian Eichenberger
Henry Martin
M. Spanring
Rahul Siripurapu
Daniel Springer
Leyan Deng
Chenwang Wu
Defu Lian
Mintao Zhou
Martin Lumiste
Andrei-Șerban Ilie
Xinhua Wu
Cheng Lyu
Qingying Lu
Vishal Mahajan
Yichao Lu
Jiezhang Li
Junjun Li
Yue-jiao Gong
Florian Grötschla
Joël Mathys
Ye Wei
He Haitao
Hui Fang
Kevin Malm
Fei Tang
Michael K Kopp
David P. Kreil
Sepp Hochreiter
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Abstract

The global trends of urbanization and increased personal mobility force us to rethink the way we live and use urban space. The Traffic4cast competition series tackles this problem in a data-driven way, advancing the latest methods in machine learning for modeling complex spatial systems over time. In this edition, our dynamic road graph data combine information from road maps, 101210^{12}1012 probe data points, and stationary vehicle detectors in three cities over the span of two years. While stationary vehicle detectors are the most accurate way to capture traffic volume, they are only available in few locations. Traffic4cast 2022 explores models that have the ability to generalize loosely related temporal vertex data on just a few nodes to predict dynamic future traffic states on the edges of the entire road graph. In the core challenge, participants are invited to predict the likelihoods of three congestion classes derived from the speed levels in the GPS data for the entire road graph in three cities 15 min into the future. We only provide vehicle count data from spatially sparse stationary vehicle detectors in these three cities as model input for this task. The data are aggregated in 15 min time bins for one hour prior to the prediction time. For the extended challenge, participants are tasked to predict the average travel times on super-segments 15 min into the future - super-segments are longer sequences of road segments in the graph. The competition results provide an important advance in the prediction of complex city-wide traffic states just from publicly available sparse vehicle data and without the need for large amounts of real-time floating vehicle data.

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