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Correlation matrix of equi-correlated normal population: fluctuation of the largest eigenvalue, scaling of the bulk eigenvalues, and stock market

Abstract

Given an NN-dimensional sample of size TT and form a sample correlation matrix C\mathbf{C}. Suppose that NN and TT tend to infinity with T/NT/N converging to a fixed finite constant Q>0Q>0. If the population is a factor model, then the eigenvalue distribution of C\mathbf{C} almost surely converges weakly to Mar\v{c}enko-Pastur distribution such that the index is QQ and the scale parameter is the limiting ratio of the specific variance to the ii-th variable (i)(i\to\infty). For an NN-dimensional normal population with equi-correlation coefficient ρ\rho, which is a one-factor model, for the largest eigenvalue λ\lambda of C\mathbf{C}, we prove that λ/N\lambda/N converges to the equi-correlation coefficient ρ\rho almost surely. These results suggest an important role of an equi-correlated normal population and a factor model in (Laloux et al. Random matrix theory and financial correlations, Int. J. Theor. Appl. Finance, 2000): the histogram of the eigenvalue of sample correlation matrix of the returns of stock prices fits the density of Mar\v{c}enko-Pastur distribution of index T/NT/N and scale parameter 1λ/N1-\lambda/N. Moreover, we provide the limiting distribution of the largest eigenvalue of a sample covariance matrix of an equi-correlated normal population. We discuss the phase transition as to the decay rate of the equi-correlation coefficient in NN.

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