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Center-outward Rank- and Sign-based VARMA Portmanteau Tests: Chitturi, Hosking, and Li--McLeod revisited

Abstract

The pseudo-Gaussian portmanteau tests of Chitturi, Hosking, and Li and McLeod for VARMA models are revisited from a Le Cam perspective, providing a precise and more rigorous description of the asymptotic behavior of the multivariate portmanteau test statistic, which depends on the dimension dd of the observations, the number mm of lags involved, and the length nn of the observation period. Then, based on the concepts of center-outward ranks and signs recently developed (Hallin, del Barrio, Cuesta-Albertos, and Matr\' an, {\it Annals of Statistics} 49, 1139--1165, 2021), a class of multivariate rank- and sign-based portmanteau test statistics is proposed which, under the null hypothesis and under a broad family of innovation densities, can be approximated by an asymptotically chi-square variable. The asymptotic properties of these tests are derived; simulations demonstrate their advantages over their classical pseudo-Gaussian counterpart.

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