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Fractional SDE-Net: Generation of Time Series Data with Long-term Memory

16 January 2022
Kohei Hayashi
Kei Nakagawa
    AI4TS
ArXiv (abs)PDFHTML
Abstract

In this paper, we focus on generation of time-series data using neural networks. It is often the case that input time-series data, especially taken from real financial markets, is irregularly sampled, and its noise structure is more complicated than i.i.d. type. To generate time series with such a property, we propose fSDE-Net: neural fractional Stochastic Differential Equation Network. It generalizes the neural SDE model by using fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index larger than half, which exhibits long-term memory property. We derive the solver of fSDE-Net and theoretically analyze the existence and uniqueness of the solution to fSDE-Net. Our experiments demonstrate that the fSDE-Net model can replicate distributional properties well.

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