Dynamical hypothesis tests and Decision Theory for Gibbs distributions

Abstract
We consider the problem of testing for two Gibbs probabilities and defined for a dynamical system . Due to the fact that in general full orbits are not observable or computable, one needs to restrict to subclasses of tests defined by a finite time series , , , where denotes a suitable measurable function. We determine in each class the Neyman-Pearson tests, the minimax tests, and the Bayes solutions, and show the asymptotic decay of their risk functions, as . In the case of being a symbolic space, for each , these optimal tests rely on the information of the measures for cylinder sets of size .
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