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Minimax rate of estimation for invariant densities associated to continuous stochastic differential equations over anisotropic Holder classes

Abstract

We study the problem of the nonparametric estimation for the density π\pi of the stationary distribution of a dd-dimensional stochastic differential equation (Xt)t[0,T](X_t)_{t \in [0, T]}. From the continuous observation of the sampling path on [0,T][0, T], we study the estimation of π(x)\pi(x) as TT goes to infinity. For d2d\ge2, we characterize the minimax rate for the L2\mathbf{L}^2-risk in pointwise estimation over a class of anisotropic H\"older functions π\pi with regularity β=(β1,...,βd)\beta = (\beta_1, ... , \beta_d). For d3d \ge 3, our finding is that, having ordered the smoothness such that β1...βd\beta_1 \le ... \le \beta_d, the minimax rate depends on whether β2<β3\beta_2 < \beta_3 or β2=β3\beta_2 = \beta_3. In the first case, this rate is (logTT)γ(\frac{\log T}{T})^\gamma, and in the second case, it is (1T)γ(\frac{1}{T})^\gamma, where γ\gamma is an explicit exponent dependent on the dimension and βˉ3\bar{\beta}_3, the harmonic mean of smoothness over the dd directions after excluding β1\beta_1 and β2\beta_2, the smallest ones. We also demonstrate that kernel-based estimators achieve the optimal minimax rate. Furthermore, we propose an adaptive procedure for both L2L^2 integrated and pointwise risk. In the two-dimensional case, we show that kernel density estimators achieve the rate logTT\frac{\log T}{T}, which is optimal in the minimax sense. Finally we illustrate the validity of our theoretical findings by proposing numerical results.

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