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Consistent estimation of distribution functions under increasing concave and convex stochastic ordering

Abstract

A random variable Y1Y_1 is said to be smaller than Y2Y_2 in the increasing concave stochastic order if E[ϕ(Y1)]E[ϕ(Y2)]\mathbb{E}[\phi(Y_1)] \leq \mathbb{E}[\phi(Y_2)] for all increasing concave functions ϕ\phi for which the expected values exist, and smaller than Y2Y_2 in the increasing convex order if E[ψ(Y1)]E[ψ(Y2)]\mathbb{E}[\psi(Y_1)] \leq \mathbb{E}[\psi(Y_2)] for all increasing convex ψ\psi. This article develops nonparametric estimators for the conditional cumulative distribution functions Fx(y)=P(YyX=x)F_x(y) = \mathbb{P}(Y \leq y \mid X = x) of a response variable YY given a covariate XX, solely under the assumption that the conditional distributions are increasing in xx in the increasing concave or increasing convex order. Uniform consistency and rates of convergence are established both for the KK-sample case X{1,,K}X \in \{1, \dots, K\} and for continuously distributed XX.

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