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Minimax Optimal Conditional Independence Testing

Annals of Statistics (Ann. Stat.), 2020
Abstract

We consider the problem of conditional independence testing of XX and YY given ZZ where X,YX,Y and ZZ are three real random variables and ZZ is continuous. We focus on two main cases - when XX and YY are both discrete, and when XX and YY are both continuous. In view of recent results on conditional independence testing (Shah and Peters, 2018), one cannot hope to design non-trivial tests, which control the type I error for all absolutely continuous conditionally independent distributions, while still ensuring power against interesting alternatives. Consequently, we identify various, natural smoothness assumptions on the conditional distributions of X,YZ=zX,Y|Z=z as zz varies in the support of ZZ, and study the hardness of conditional independence testing under these smoothness assumptions. We derive matching lower and upper bounds on the critical radius of separation between the null and alternative hypotheses in the total variation metric. The tests we consider are easily implementable and rely on binning the support of the continuous variable ZZ. To complement these results, we provide a new proof of the hardness result of Shah and Peters.

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