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Minimax rates in sparse, high-dimensional changepoint detection

Abstract

We study the detection of a sparse change in a high-dimensional mean vector as a minimax testing problem. Our first main contribution is to derive the exact minimax testing rate across all parameter regimes for nn independent, pp-variate Gaussian observations. This rate exhibits a phase transition when the sparsity level is of order ploglog(8n)\sqrt{p \log \log (8n)} and has a very delicate dependence on the sample size: in a certain sparsity regime it involves a triple iterated logarithmic factor in~nn. Further, in a dense asymptotic regime, we identify the sharp leading constant, while in the corresponding sparse asymptotic regime, this constant is determined to within a factor of 2\sqrt{2}. Extensions that cover spatial and temporal dependence, primarily in the dense case, are also provided.

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