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Estimation of a regular conditional functional by conditional U-statistics regression

26 March 2019
A. Derumigny
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Abstract

U-statistics constitute a large class of estimators, generalizing the empirical mean of a random variable XXX to sums over every kkk-tuple of distinct observations of XXX. They may be used to estimate a regular functional θ(PX)\theta(P_{X})θ(PX​) of the law of XXX. When a vector of covariates ZZZ is available, a conditional U-statistic may describe the effect of zzz on the conditional law of XXX given Z=zZ=zZ=z, by estimating a regular conditional functional θ(PX∣Z=⋅)\theta(P_{X|Z=\cdot})θ(PX∣Z=⋅​). We prove concentration inequalities for conditional U-statistics. Assuming a parametric model of the conditional functional of interest, we propose a regression-type estimator based on conditional U-statistics. Its theoretical properties are derived, first in a non-asymptotic framework and then in two different asymptotic regimes. Some examples are given to illustrate our methods.

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