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Inference on Functionals under First Order Degeneracy

Abstract

This paper presents a unified second order asymptotic framework for conducting inference on parameters of the form ϕ(θ0)\phi(\theta_0), where θ0\theta_0 is unknown but can be estimated by θ^n\hat\theta_n, and ϕ\phi is a known map that admits null first order derivative at θ0\theta_0. For a large number of examples in the literature, the second order Delta method reveals a nondegenerate weak limit for the plug-in estimator ϕ(θ^n)\phi(\hat\theta_n). We show, however, that the `standard' bootstrap is consistent if and only if the second order derivative ϕθ0=0\phi_{\theta_0}''=0 under regularity conditions, i.e., the standard bootstrap is inconsistent if ϕθ00\phi_{\theta_0}''\neq 0, and provides degenerate limits unhelpful for inference otherwise. We thus identify a source of bootstrap failures distinct from that in Fang and Santos (2018) because the problem (of consistently bootstrapping a \textit{nondegenerate} limit) persists even if ϕ\phi is differentiable. We show that the correction procedure in Babu (1984) can be extended to our general setup. Alternatively, a modified bootstrap is proposed when the map is \textit{in addition} second order nondifferentiable. Both are shown to provide local size control under some conditions. As an illustration, we develop a test of common conditional heteroskedastic (CH) features, a setting with both degeneracy and nondifferentiability -- the latter is because the Jacobian matrix is degenerate at zero and we allow the existence of multiple common CH features.

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