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Optimal Confidence Bands for Shape-Restricted Curves

23 December 2013
L. Duembgen
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Abstract

Let YYY be a stochastic process on [0,1][0,1][0,1] satisfying dY(t)=n1/2f(t)dt+dW(t)dY(t) = n^{1/2} f(t) dt + dW(t)dY(t)=n1/2f(t)dt+dW(t), where n≥1n \ge 1n≥1 is a given scale parameter (``sample size''), WWW is standard Brownian motion and fff is an unknown function. Utilizing suitable multiscale tests we construct confidence bands for fff with guaranteed given coverage probability, assuming that fff is isotonic or convex. These confidence bands are computationally feasible and shown to be asymptotically sharp optimal in an appropriate sense.

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