Stochastic volatility models with possible extremal clustering

In this paper we consider a heavy-tailed stochastic volatility model, , , where the volatility sequence and the i.i.d. noise sequence are assumed independent, is regularly varying with index , and the 's have moments of order larger than . In the literature (see Ann. Appl. Probab. 8 (1998) 664-675, J. Appl. Probab. 38A (2001) 93-104, In Handbook of Financial Time Series (2009) 355-364 Springer), it is typically assumed that is a Gaussian stationary sequence and the 's are regularly varying with some index (i.e., has lighter tails than the 's), or that is i.i.d. centered Gaussian. In these cases, we see that the sequence does not exhibit extremal clustering. In contrast to this situation, under the conditions of this paper, both situations are possible; may or may not have extremal clustering, depending on the clustering behavior of the -sequence.
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