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Adaptive and minimax optimal estimation of the tail coefficient

Abstract

We consider the problem of estimating the tail index α\alpha of a distribution satisfying a (α,β)(\alpha, \beta) second-order Pareto-type condition, where \beta is the second-order coefficient. When β\beta is available, it was previously proved that α\alpha can be estimated with the oracle rate nβ/(2β+1)n^{-\beta/(2\beta+1)}. On the contrary, when β\beta is not available, estimating α\alpha with the oracle rate is challenging; so additional assumptions that imply the estimability of β\beta are usually made. In this paper, we propose an adaptive estimator of α\alpha, and show that this estimator attains the rate (n/loglogn)β/(2β+1)(n/\log\log n)^{-\beta/(2\beta+1)} without a priori knowledge of β\beta and any additional assumptions. Moreover, we prove that this (loglogn)β/(2β+1)(\log\log n)^{\beta/(2\beta+1)} factor is unavoidable by obtaining the companion lower bound.

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