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Adaptive estimation of the copula correlation matrix for semiparametric elliptical copulas

28 May 2013
M. Wegkamp
Yue Zhao
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Abstract

We study the adaptive estimation of copula correlation matrix Σ\SigmaΣ for the semi-parametric elliptical copula model. In this context, the correlations are connected to Kendall's tau through a sine function transformation. Hence, a natural estimate for Σ\SigmaΣ is the plug-in estimator Σ^\hat{\Sigma}Σ^ with Kendall's tau statistic. We first obtain a sharp bound on the operator norm of Σ^−Σ\hat{\Sigma}-\SigmaΣ^−Σ. Then we study a factor model of Σ\SigmaΣ, for which we propose a refined estimator Σ~\widetilde{\Sigma}Σ by fitting a low-rank matrix plus a diagonal matrix to Σ^\hat{\Sigma}Σ^ using least squares with a nuclear norm penalty on the low-rank matrix. The bound on the operator norm of Σ^−Σ\hat{\Sigma}-\SigmaΣ^−Σ serves to scale the penalty term, and we obtain finite sample oracle inequalities for Σ~\widetilde{\Sigma}Σ. We also consider an elementary factor copula model of Σ\SigmaΣ, for which we propose closed-form estimators. All of our estimation procedures are entirely data-driven.

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