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Ergodicity of observation-driven time series models and consistency of the maximum likelihood estimator

17 October 2012
Randal Douc
P. Doukhan
Eric Moulines
    AI4TS
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Abstract

This paper deals with a general class of observation-driven time series models with a special focus on time series of counts. We provide conditions under which there exist strict-sense stationary and ergodic versions of such processes. The consistency of the maximum likelihood estimators is then derived for well- specified and misspecified models.

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