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Inconsistency of bootstrap: The Grenander estimator

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate the (in)-consistency of different bootstrap methods for constructing confidence intervals in the class of estimators that converge at rate n1/3n^{1/3}. The Grenander estimator, the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator of an unknown nonincreasing density function ff on [0,)[0,\infty), is a prototypical example. We focus on this example and explore different approaches to constructing bootstrap confidence intervals for f(t0)f(t_0), where t0(0,)t_0\in(0,\infty) is an interior point. We find that the bootstrap estimate, when generating bootstrap samples from the empirical distribution function Fn\mathbb{F}_n or its least concave majorant F~n\tilde{F}_n, does not have any weak limit in probability. We provide a set of sufficient conditions for the consistency of any bootstrap method in this example and show that bootstrapping from a smoothed version of F~n\tilde{F}_n leads to strongly consistent estimators. The mm out of nn bootstrap method is also shown to be consistent while generating samples from Fn\mathbb{F}_n and F~n\tilde{F}_n.

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