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Parameter estimation for fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes

Abstract

We study a least squares estimator θ^T\hat {\theta}_T for the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, dXt=θXtdt+σdBtHdX_t=\theta X_t dt+\sigma dB^H_t, driven by fractional Brownian motion BHB^H with Hurst parameter H12H\ge \frac12. We prove the strong consistence of θ^T\hat {\theta}_T (the almost surely convergence of θ^T\hat {\theta}_T to the true parameter {% \theta}). We also obtain the rate of this convergence when 1/2H<3/41/2\le H<3/4, applying a central limit theorem for multiple Wiener integrals. This least squares estimator can be used to study other more simulation friendly estimators such as the estimator θ~T\tilde \theta_T defined by (4.1).

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