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Optimal rate of convergence for nonparametric change-point estimators for nonstationary sequences

23 October 2007
S. B. Hariz
J. Wylie
Qiang Zhang
ArXiv (abs)PDFHTML
Abstract

Let (Xi)i=1,...,n(X_i)_{i=1,...,n}(Xi​)i=1,...,n​ be a possibly nonstationary sequence such that L(Xi)=Pn\mathscr{L}(X_i)=P_nL(Xi​)=Pn​ if i≤nθi\leq n\thetai≤nθ and L(Xi)=Qn\mathscr{L}(X_i)=Q_nL(Xi​)=Qn​ if i>nθi>n\thetai>nθ, where 0<θ<10<\theta <10<θ<1 is the location of the change-point to be estimated. We construct a class of estimators based on the empirical measures and a seminorm on the space of measures defined through a family of functions F\mathcal{F}F. We prove the consistency of the estimator and give rates of convergence under very general conditions. In particular, the 1/n1/n1/n rate is achieved for a wide class of processes including long-range dependent sequences and even nonstationary ones. The approach unifies, generalizes and improves on the existing results for both parametric and nonparametric change-point estimation, applied to independent, short-range dependent and as well long-range dependent sequences.

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