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Probabilistic coherence and proper scoring rules

16 October 2007
Joel B. Predd
R. Seiringer
E. Lieb
D. Osherson
Vincent Poor
Sanjeev R. Kulkarni
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Abstract

We provide self-contained proof of a theorem relating probabilistic coherence of forecasts to their non-domination by rival forecasts with respect to any proper scoring rule. The theorem appears to be new but is closely related to results achieved by other investigators.

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